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2020 United States Senate election in Alabama

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States Senate election in Alabama

The 2020 United States Senate election in Alabama was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alabama, concurrently with the 2020 U . presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent senator Doug Jones, first elected in a 2017 special election in what was widely labeled a major upset, ran for a full term, facing Tommy Tuberville in the general election. This race was one of two Democratic-held U . Senate seats up for election in 2020 in a state President Trump won in 2016. Jones was widely considered the most vulnerable senator among those seeking re-election in 2020 due to Alabama's heavy Republican lean, with analysts predicting a Republican pickup; Jones's 2017 win was in part due to sexual misconduct allegations against his Republican opponent Roy Moore. As was predicted, Tuberville easily defeated Jones, whose 20 % margin of defeat was the largest for an incumbent U . Senator since Arkansas' Blanche Lincoln in 2010. Tuberville received the highest percentage of the vote for any challenger since Joseph D. Tydings in 1964. Jones became the first Democratic senator to lose a general election in Alabama, and the only Democratic senator to be defeated in 2020. However, he outperformed Biden in the state by about five points. This was the only Republican flip of the 2020 U . Senate elections.

Infobox

Turnout
63 %
Nominee
Tommy Tuberville
Party
Republican
Popular vote
1,392,076
Percentage
60 %

Tables

· Republican primary › First round › Polling
WPA Intelligence
WPA Intelligence
Poll source
WPA Intelligence
Date(s) administered
February 18–19, 2020
Sample size
607 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4%
Stanley Adair
<1%
Mo Brooks
–
Bradley Byrne
17%
Del Marsh
–
John Merrill
–
Arnold Mooney
<1%
Roy Moore
5%
Ruth Page Nelson
–
WPA Intelligence
WPA Intelligence
Poll source
WPA Intelligence
Date(s) administered
February 10–12, 2020
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4%
Stanley Adair
<1%
Mo Brooks
–
Bradley Byrne
17%
Del Marsh
–
John Merrill
–
Arnold Mooney
1%
Roy Moore
6%
Ruth Page Nelson
<1%
Harper Polling
Harper Polling
Poll source
Harper Polling
Date(s) administered
February 8–9, 2020
Sample size
609 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Stanley Adair
–
Mo Brooks
–
Bradley Byrne
26%
Del Marsh
–
John Merrill
–
Arnold Mooney
–
Roy Moore
5%
Ruth Page Nelson
–
Mason-Dixon
Mason-Dixon
Poll source
Mason-Dixon
Date(s) administered
February 4–6, 2020
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Stanley Adair
–
Mo Brooks
–
Bradley Byrne
17%
Del Marsh
–
John Merrill
–
Arnold Mooney
–
Roy Moore
5%
Ruth Page Nelson
–
OnMessage
OnMessage
Poll source
OnMessage
Date(s) administered
January 13–15, 2020
Sample size
700 (LV)
Margin of error
± 2 %
Stanley Adair
–
Mo Brooks
–
Bradley Byrne
22%
Del Marsh
–
John Merrill
–
Arnold Mooney
–
Roy Moore
–
Ruth Page Nelson
–
OnMessage
OnMessage
Poll source
OnMessage
Date(s) administered
December 3–5, 2019
Sample size
700 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Stanley Adair
–
Mo Brooks
–
Bradley Byrne
14%
Del Marsh
–
John Merrill
–
Arnold Mooney
1%
Roy Moore
7%
Ruth Page Nelson
1%
Cherry Communications
Cherry Communications
Poll source
Cherry Communications
Date(s) administered
December 1–3, 2019
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Stanley Adair
1%
Mo Brooks
–
Bradley Byrne
12%
Del Marsh
–
John Merrill
–
Arnold Mooney
1%
Roy Moore
8%
Ruth Page Nelson
–
WPA Intelligence
WPA Intelligence
Poll source
WPA Intelligence
Date(s) administered
October 29–31, 2019
Sample size
511 (V)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Stanley Adair
–
Mo Brooks
–
Bradley Byrne
11%
Del Marsh
–
John Merrill
6%
Arnold Mooney
2%
Roy Moore
11%
Ruth Page Nelson
–
Cygnal
Cygnal
Poll source
Cygnal
Date(s) administered
October 10–12, 2019
Sample size
536 (LV)
Margin of error
–
Stanley Adair
1%
Mo Brooks
–
Bradley Byrne
18%
Del Marsh
–
John Merrill
9%
Arnold Mooney
2%
Roy Moore
11%
Ruth Page Nelson
–
Tommy for Senate
Tommy for Senate
Poll source
Tommy for Senate
Date(s) administered
Released on October 5, 2019
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
–
Stanley Adair
1%
Mo Brooks
–
Bradley Byrne
13%
Del Marsh
–
John Merrill
9%
Arnold Mooney
1%
Roy Moore
15%
Ruth Page Nelson
–
Moore Information
Moore Information
Poll source
Moore Information
Date(s) administered
August 11–13, 2019
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Stanley Adair
–
Mo Brooks
–
Bradley Byrne
17%
Del Marsh
–
John Merrill
13%
Arnold Mooney
1%
Roy Moore
15%
Ruth Page Nelson
–
Cygnal
Cygnal
Poll source
Cygnal
Date(s) administered
June 22–23, 2019
Sample size
612 (LV)
Margin of error
4 %
Stanley Adair
–
Mo Brooks
–
Bradley Byrne
21%
Del Marsh
–
John Merrill
12%
Arnold Mooney
2%
Roy Moore
13%
Ruth Page Nelson
–
–
–
Poll source
–
Date(s) administered
–
Sample size
13%
Margin of error
–
Stanley Adair
8%
Mo Brooks
–
Bradley Byrne
9%
Del Marsh
–
John Merrill
–
Arnold Mooney
29%
Roy Moore
21%
Ruth Page Nelson
–
Moore Information
Moore Information
Poll source
Moore Information
Date(s) administered
June 10–11, 2019
Sample size
650 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Stanley Adair
–
Mo Brooks
–
Bradley Byrne
16%
Del Marsh
–
John Merrill
7%
Arnold Mooney
2%
Roy Moore
18%
Ruth Page Nelson
–
Mason-Dixon
Mason-Dixon
Poll source
Mason-Dixon
Date(s) administered
April 9–11, 2019
Sample size
400 (RV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Stanley Adair
–
Mo Brooks
18%
Bradley Byrne
13%
Del Marsh
4%
John Merrill
–
Arnold Mooney
–
Roy Moore
27%
Ruth Page Nelson
–
Victory Phones
Victory Phones
Poll source
Victory Phones
Date(s) administered
Released in February 2019
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Stanley Adair
–
Mo Brooks
30%
Bradley Byrne
17%
Del Marsh
7%
John Merrill
–
Arnold Mooney
–
Roy Moore
–
Ruth Page Nelson
–
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Stanley Adair
Mo Brooks
Bradley Byrne
Del Marsh
John Merrill
Arnold Mooney
Roy Moore
Ruth Page Nelson
WPA Intelligence
February 18–19, 2020
607 (LV)
± 4%
<1%
–
17%
–
–
<1%
5%
–
WPA Intelligence
February 10–12, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4%
<1%
–
17%
–
–
1%
6%
<1%
Harper Polling
February 8–9, 2020
609 (LV)
± 3 %
–
–
26%
–
–
–
5%
–
Mason-Dixon
February 4–6, 2020
400 (LV)
± 5 %
–
–
17%
–
–
–
5%
–
OnMessage
January 13–15, 2020
700 (LV)
± 2 %
–
–
22%
–
–
–
–
–
OnMessage
December 3–5, 2019
700 (LV)
± 3 %
–
–
14%
–
–
1%
7%
1%
Cherry Communications
December 1–3, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4 %
1%
–
12%
–
–
1%
8%
–
WPA Intelligence
October 29–31, 2019
511 (V)
± 4 %
–
–
11%
–
6%
2%
11%
–
Cygnal
October 10–12, 2019
536 (LV)
–
1%
–
18%
–
9%
2%
11%
–
Tommy for Senate
Released on October 5, 2019
– (LV)
–
1%
–
13%
–
9%
1%
15%
–
Moore Information
August 11–13, 2019
400 (LV)
± 5 %
–
–
17%
–
13%
1%
15%
–
Cygnal
June 22–23, 2019
612 (LV)
4 %
–
–
21%
–
12%
2%
13%
–
–
–
13%
–
8%
–
9%
–
–
29%
21%
–
Moore Information
June 10–11, 2019
650 (LV)
± 4 %
–
–
16%
–
7%
2%
18%
–
Mason-Dixon
April 9–11, 2019
400 (RV)
± 5 %
–
18%
13%
4%
–
–
27%
–
Victory Phones
Released in February 2019
400 (LV)
± 5 %
–
30%
17%
7%
–
–
–
–
Republican primary results · Republican primary › First round › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
717,665
Candidate
100 %
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Tommy Tuberville
239,616
33 %
Republican
Jeff Sessions
227,088
31 %
Republican
Bradley Byrne
178,627
24 %
Republican
Roy Moore
51,377
7 %
Republican
Ruth Page Nelson
7,200
1 %
Republican
Arnold Mooney
7,149
1 %
Republican
Stanley Adair
6,608
0 %
Total votes
717,665
100 %
· Republican primary › Runoff › Polling
Auburn University at Montgomery
Auburn University at Montgomery
Poll source
Auburn University at Montgomery
Date(s) administered
July 2–9, 2020
Sample size
558 (RV)
Margin of error
± 6%
Jeff Sessions
31%
Tommy Tuberville
47%
Other / Undecided
22%
OnMessage (R)
OnMessage (R)
Poll source
OnMessage (R)
Date(s) administered
May 26–27, 2020
Sample size
600 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Jeff Sessions
43%
Tommy Tuberville
49%
Other / Undecided
8%
FM3 Research (D)
FM3 Research (D)
Poll source
FM3 Research (D)
Date(s) administered
May 14–18, 2020
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
–
Jeff Sessions
32%
Tommy Tuberville
54%
Other / Undecided
14%
Cygnal
Cygnal
Poll source
Cygnal
Date(s) administered
May 7–10, 2020
Sample size
607 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Jeff Sessions
32%
Tommy Tuberville
55%
Other / Undecided
13%
FM3 Research (D)
FM3 Research (D)
Poll source
FM3 Research (D)
Date(s) administered
March, 2020
Sample size
– (LV)
Margin of error
–
Jeff Sessions
36%
Tommy Tuberville
54%
Other / Undecided
10%
OnMessage (R)
OnMessage (R)
Poll source
OnMessage (R)
Date(s) administered
March 8–9, 2020
Sample size
800 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Jeff Sessions
45%
Tommy Tuberville
45%
Other / Undecided
10%
Cygnal
Cygnal
Poll source
Cygnal
Date(s) administered
March 6–8, 2020
Sample size
645 (LV)
Margin of error
+ 3 %
Jeff Sessions
40%
Tommy Tuberville
52%
Other / Undecided
8%
Moore Information Group
Moore Information Group
Poll source
Moore Information Group
Date(s) administered
March 5–7, 2020
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5%
Jeff Sessions
38%
Tommy Tuberville
49%
Other / Undecided
13%
WT&S Consulting
WT&S Consulting
Poll source
WT&S Consulting
Date(s) administered
March 5, 2020
Sample size
1,234 (LV)
Margin of error
+ 3 %
Jeff Sessions
42%
Tommy Tuberville
49%
Other / Undecided
8%
Mason-Dixon
Mason-Dixon
Poll source
Mason-Dixon
Date(s) administered
February 4–6, 2020
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Jeff Sessions
49%
Tommy Tuberville
42%
Other / Undecided
9%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Jeff Sessions
Tommy Tuberville
Other / Undecided
Auburn University at Montgomery
July 2–9, 2020
558 (RV)
± 6%
31%
47%
22%
OnMessage (R)
May 26–27, 2020
600 (LV)
± 3 %
43%
49%
8%
FM3 Research (D)
May 14–18, 2020
– (LV)
–
32%
54%
14%
Cygnal
May 7–10, 2020
607 (LV)
± 3 %
32%
55%
13%
FM3 Research (D)
March, 2020
– (LV)
–
36%
54%
10%
OnMessage (R)
March 8–9, 2020
800 (LV)
± 3 %
45%
45%
10%
Cygnal
March 6–8, 2020
645 (LV)
+ 3 %
40%
52%
8%
Moore Information Group
March 5–7, 2020
400 (LV)
± 5%
38%
49%
13%
WT&S Consulting
March 5, 2020
1,234 (LV)
+ 3 %
42%
49%
8%
Mason-Dixon
February 4–6, 2020
400 (LV)
± 5 %
49%
42%
9%
WPA Intelligence (R)
WPA Intelligence (R)
Poll source
WPA Intelligence (R)
Date(s) administered
February 10–12, 2019
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Bradley Byrne
27%
Gary Palmer
27%
Undecided
46%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Bradley Byrne
Gary Palmer
Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)
February 10–12, 2019
500 (LV)
± 4 %
27%
27%
46%
AL Daily News/Mason-Dixon
AL Daily News/Mason-Dixon
Poll source
AL Daily News/Mason-Dixon
Date(s) administered
February 4–6, 2020
Sample size
400 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Bradley Byrne
35%
Jeff Sessions
48%
Undecided
17%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Bradley Byrne
Jeff Sessions
Undecided
AL Daily News/Mason-Dixon
February 4–6, 2020
400 (LV)
± 5 %
35%
48%
17%

References

  1. The Club for Growth is a PAC supporting the Donald Trump 2020 presidential campaign and has also endorsed Tuberville
  2. Poll sponsored by the Bradley Byrne campaign
  3. Poll sponsored by the Jeff Sessions campaign
  4. Poll sponsored by FarmPAC
  5. Internal poll from Tuberville's campaign
  6. Poll sponsored by the Tommy Tuberville campaign.
  7. Poll produced, according to Mo Brooks, by a group attempting to persuade him to enter this race
  8. Poll sponsored by Jones' campaign.
  9. Poll sponsored by Club for Growth Action
  10. Standard VI response
  11. Poll sponsored by the Club for Growth, which supports exclusively Republican candidates.
  12. "Jones does not deserve to be re-elected" with 48% as opposed to "Jones deserves to be re-elected"
  13. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  14. Not yet released
  15. Tim James with 2%
  16. Undecided with 22%
  17. Undecided with 8%
  18. Undecided with 14%
  19. Undecided with 10%
  20. "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
Image
Source: —
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