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2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri

Updated: Wikipedia source

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Missouri, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 United States presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 4, 2020.

Infobox

Party
Republican
Last election
6
Seats won
6
Popular vote
1,723,982
Percentage
57.98%
Swing
2.95%

Tables

· Overview
Votes
Votes
District
Votes
Republican
%
Republican
Votes
Democratic
%
Democratic
Votes
Others
%
Others
Votes
Total
%
District 1
District 1
District
District 1
Republican
59,940
Republican
18.96%
Democratic
249,087
Democratic
78.78%
Others
7,144
Others
2.26%
Total
316,171
Total
100.0%
Result
Democratic hold
District 2
District 2
District
District 2
Republican
233,157
Republican
51.89%
Democratic
204,540
Democratic
45.52%
Others
11,651
Others
2.59%
Total
449,348
Total
100.0%
Result
Republican hold
District 3
District 3
District
District 3
Republican
282,866
Republican
69.44%
Democratic
116,095
Democratic
28.50%
Others
8,387
Others
2.06%
Total
407,348
Total
100.0%
Result
Republican hold
District 4
District 4
District
District 4
Republican
245,247
Republican
67.59%
Democratic
107,635
Democratic
29.66%
Others
9,954
Others
2.74%
Total
362,836
Total
100.0%
Result
Republican hold
District 5
District 5
District
District 5
Republican
135,934
Republican
38.57%
Democratic
207,180
Democratic
58.79%
Others
9,316
Others
2.64%
Total
352,430
Total
100.0%
Result
Democratic hold
District 6
District 6
District
District 6
Republican
258,709
Republican
67.06%
Democratic
118,926
Democratic
30.83%
Others
8,144
Others
2.11%
Total
385,779
Total
100.0%
Result
Republican hold
District 7
District 7
District
District 7
Republican
254,318
Republican
68.87%
Democratic
98,111
Democratic
26.57%
Others
16,854
Others
4.56%
Total
369,283
Total
100.0%
Result
Republican hold
District 8
District 8
District
District 8
Republican
253,811
Republican
76.86%
Democratic
70,561
Democratic
21.37%
Others
5,854
Others
1.77%
Total
330,226
Total
100.0%
Result
Republican hold
Total
Total
District
Total
Republican
1,723,982
Republican
57.98%
Democratic
1,172,135
Democratic
39.42%
Others
77,304
Others
2.60%
Total
2,973,421
Total
100.0%
District
Republican
Democratic
Others
Total
Result
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
District 1
59,940
18.96%
249,087
78.78%
7,144
2.26%
316,171
100.0%
Democratic hold
District 2
233,157
51.89%
204,540
45.52%
11,651
2.59%
449,348
100.0%
Republican hold
District 3
282,866
69.44%
116,095
28.50%
8,387
2.06%
407,348
100.0%
Republican hold
District 4
245,247
67.59%
107,635
29.66%
9,954
2.74%
362,836
100.0%
Republican hold
District 5
135,934
38.57%
207,180
58.79%
9,316
2.64%
352,430
100.0%
Democratic hold
District 6
258,709
67.06%
118,926
30.83%
8,144
2.11%
385,779
100.0%
Republican hold
District 7
254,318
68.87%
98,111
26.57%
16,854
4.56%
369,283
100.0%
Republican hold
District 8
253,811
76.86%
70,561
21.37%
5,854
1.77%
330,226
100.0%
Republican hold
Total
1,723,982
57.98%
1,172,135
39.42%
77,304
2.60%
2,973,421
100.0%
· District 1 › Democratic primary › Polling
Data for Progress
Data for Progress
Poll source
Data for Progress
Date(s)administered
August 1–3, 2020
Samplesize
250 (LV)
Marginof error
–
KatherineBruckner
7%
CoriBush
42%
LacyClay
42%
Undecided
9%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
KatherineBruckner
CoriBush
LacyClay
Undecided
Data for Progress
August 1–3, 2020
250 (LV)
–
7%
42%
42%
9%
Democratic primary results[22] · District 1 › Democratic primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
151,011
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Cori Bush
73,274
48.5
Democratic
Lacy Clay (incumbent)
68,887
45.6
Democratic
Katherine Bruckner
8,850
5.9
Total votes
151,011
100.0
Republican primary results[22] · District 1 › Republican primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
11,346
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Anthony Rogers
6,979
61.5
Republican
Winnie Heartstrong
4,367
38.5
Total votes
11,346
100.0
Libertarian primary results[22] · District 1 › Libertarian primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
337
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Libertarian
Alex Furman
337
100.0
Total votes
337
100.0
· District 1 › General election › Predictions
Safe D
Safe D
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Safe D
As of
July 2, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Safe D
As of
June 2, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Safe D
As of
July 2, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Politico
Ranking
Safe D
As of
April 19, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Daily Kos
Ranking
Safe D
As of
June 3, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
RCP
Ranking
Safe D
As of
June 9, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Niskanen
Ranking
Safe D
As of
June 7, 2020
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Safe D
July 2, 2020
Inside Elections
Safe D
June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe D
July 2, 2020
Politico
Safe D
April 19, 2020
Daily Kos
Safe D
June 3, 2020
RCP
Safe D
June 9, 2020
Niskanen
Safe D
June 7, 2020
· District 1 › General election › Polling
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
September 24 – October 7, 2020
Samplesize
152 (LV)
Marginof error
–
CoriBush (D)
61%
AnthonyRodgers (R)
26%
Other
7%
Undecided
7%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
CoriBush (D)
AnthonyRodgers (R)
Other
Undecided
YouGov
September 24 – October 7, 2020
152 (LV)
–
61%
26%
7%
7%
Missouri's 1st congressional district, 2020[34] · District 1 › General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
316,171
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Cori Bush
249,087
78.8
Republican
Anthony Rogers
59,940
19.0
Libertarian
Alex Furman
6,766
2.1
Independent
Martin Baker (write-in)
378
0.1
Total votes
316,171
100.0
Democratic hold
Republican primary results[22] · District 2 › Republican primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
63,686
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Ann Wagner (incumbent)
63,686
100.0
Total votes
63,686
100.0
Democratic primary results[22] · District 2 › Democratic primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
103,164
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Jill Schupp
103,164
100.0
Total votes
103,164
100.0
Libertarian primary results[22] · District 2 › Libertarian primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
737
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Libertarian
Martin Schulte
737
100.0
Total votes
737
100.0
· District 2 › General election › Predictions
Tossup
Tossup
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Tossup
As of
August 6, 2020
Tilt D (flip)
Tilt D (flip)
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Tilt D (flip)
As of
October 28, 2020
Lean R
Lean R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Lean R
As of
November 2, 2020
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Politico
Ranking
Tossup
As of
October 11, 2020
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Daily Kos
Ranking
Tossup
As of
August 31, 2020
Tossup
Tossup
Source
RCP
Ranking
Tossup
As of
June 9, 2020
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
Niskanen
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
As of
June 7, 2020
Lean R
Lean R
Source
538
Ranking
Lean R
As of
October 30, 2020
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Tossup
August 6, 2020
Inside Elections
Tilt D (flip)
October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Lean R
November 2, 2020
Politico
Tossup
October 11, 2020
Daily Kos
Tossup
August 31, 2020
RCP
Tossup
June 9, 2020
Niskanen
Lean D (flip)
June 7, 2020
538
Lean R
October 30, 2020
· District 2 › General election › Polling
Change Research
Change Research
Poll source
Change Research
Date(s)administered
October 29 – November 2, 2020
Samplesize
597 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.3%
AnnWagner (R)
46%
JillSchupp (D)
46%
Other
5%
Undecided
2%
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
September 24 – October 7, 2020
Samplesize
115 (LV)
Marginof error
–
AnnWagner (R)
42%
JillSchupp (D)
51%
Other
3%
Undecided
4%
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)
Poll source
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)
Date(s)administered
September 10–14, 2020
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
AnnWagner (R)
49%
JillSchupp (D)
49%
Other
<1%
Undecided
2%
Public Policy Polling (D)
Public Policy Polling (D)
Poll source
Public Policy Polling (D)
Date(s)administered
August 13–14, 2020
Samplesize
925 (V)
Marginof error
–
AnnWagner (R)
42%
JillSchupp (D)
45%
Other
–
Undecided
14%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
Poll source
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
Date(s)administered
February 19–20, 2020
Samplesize
1,360 (LV)
Marginof error
± 2.6%
AnnWagner (R)
50%
JillSchupp (D)
40%
Other
–
Undecided
10%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
AnnWagner (R)
JillSchupp (D)
Other
Undecided
Change Research
October 29 – November 2, 2020
597 (LV)
± 4.3%
46%
46%
5%
2%
YouGov
September 24 – October 7, 2020
115 (LV)
–
42%
51%
3%
4%
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)
September 10–14, 2020
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
49%
49%
<1%
2%
Public Policy Polling (D)
August 13–14, 2020
925 (V)
–
42%
45%
–
14%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
February 19–20, 2020
1,360 (LV)
± 2.6%
50%
40%
–
10%
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)
Poll source
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)
Date(s)administered
September 10–14, 2020
Samplesize
400 (LV)
Marginof error
± 4.9%
GenericRepublican
47%
GenericDemocrat
48%
Undecided
5%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
GenericRepublican
GenericDemocrat
Undecided
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)
September 10–14, 2020
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
47%
48%
5%
Missouri's 2nd congressional district, 2020[34] · District 2 › General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
449,348
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Ann Wagner (incumbent)
233,157
51.9
Democratic
Jill Schupp
204,540
45.5
Libertarian
Martin Schulte
11,647
2.6
Write-in
4
0.0
Total votes
449,348
100.0
Republican hold
Republican primary results[22] · District 3 › Republican primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
107,727
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent)
80,627
74.8
Republican
Brandon Wilkinson
15,901
14.8
Republican
Lynette Trares
4,197
3.9
Republican
Jeffrey Nowak
3,517
3.3
Republican
Adela Wisdom
3,485
3.2
Total votes
107,727
100.0
Democratic primary results[22] · District 3 › Democratic primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
41,627
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Megan Rezabek
27,826
66.8
Democratic
Dennis Oglesby
13,801
33.2
Total votes
41,627
100.0
Libertarian primary results[22] · District 3 › Libertarian primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
627
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Libertarian
Leonard J. Steinman II
627
100.0
Total votes
627
100.0
· District 3 › General election › Predictions
Safe R
Safe R
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Safe R
As of
July 2, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 2, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Safe R
As of
July 2, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Politico
Ranking
Safe R
As of
April 19, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Daily Kos
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 3, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
RCP
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 9, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Niskanen
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 7, 2020
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Safe R
July 2, 2020
Inside Elections
Safe R
June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe R
July 2, 2020
Politico
Safe R
April 19, 2020
Daily Kos
Safe R
June 3, 2020
RCP
Safe R
June 9, 2020
Niskanen
Safe R
June 7, 2020
· District 3 › General election › Polling
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
September 24 – October 7, 2020
Samplesize
106 (LV)
Marginof error
–
BlaineLuetkemeyer (R)
64%
MeganRezabek (D)
29%
Other
1%
Undecided
6%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
BlaineLuetkemeyer (R)
MeganRezabek (D)
Other
Undecided
YouGov
September 24 – October 7, 2020
106 (LV)
–
64%
29%
1%
6%
Missouri's 3rd congressional district, 2020[34] · District 3 › General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
407,348
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent)
282,866
69.4
Democratic
Megan Rezabek
116,095
28.5
Libertarian
Leonard J. Steinman II
8,344
2.1
Write-in
43
0.0
Total votes
407,348
100.0
Republican hold
Republican primary results[22] · District 4 › Republican primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
105,298
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Vicky Hartzler (incumbent)
80,652
76.6
Republican
Neal Gist
24,646
23.4
Total votes
105,298
100.0
Democratic primary results[22] · District 4 › Democratic primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
38,339
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Lindsey Simmons
38,339
100.0
Total votes
38,339
100.0
Libertarian primary results[22] · District 4 › Libertarian primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
673
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Libertarian
Steven K. Koonse
357
53.0
Libertarian
Robert E. Smith
316
47.0
Total votes
673
100.0
· District 4 › General election › Predictions
Safe R
Safe R
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Safe R
As of
July 2, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 2, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Safe R
As of
July 2, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Politico
Ranking
Safe R
As of
April 19, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Daily Kos
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 3, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
RCP
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 9, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Niskanen
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 7, 2020
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Safe R
July 2, 2020
Inside Elections
Safe R
June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe R
July 2, 2020
Politico
Safe R
April 19, 2020
Daily Kos
Safe R
June 3, 2020
RCP
Safe R
June 9, 2020
Niskanen
Safe R
June 7, 2020
· District 4 › General election › Polling
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
September 24 – October 7, 2020
Samplesize
92 (LV)
Marginof error
–
VickyHartzler (R)
53%
LindseySimmons (D)
37%
Other
6%
Undecided
5%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
VickyHartzler (R)
LindseySimmons (D)
Other
Undecided
YouGov
September 24 – October 7, 2020
92 (LV)
–
53%
37%
6%
5%
Missouri's 4th congressional district, 2020[34] · District 4 › General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
362,836
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Vicky Hartzler (incumbent)
245,247
67.6
Democratic
Lindsey Simmons
107,635
29.7
Libertarian
Steven K. Koonse
9,954
2.7
Total votes
362,836
100.0
Republican hold
Democratic primary results[22] · District 5 › Democratic primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
87,963
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent)
75,040
85.3
Democratic
Maite Salazar
12,923
14.7
Total votes
87,963
100.0
Republican primary results[22] · District 5 › Republican primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
40,691
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Ryan Derks
13,832
34.0
Republican
Jerry W. Barham
12,880
31.7
Republican
Clay Chastain
7,519
18.5
Republican
Weldon "Wilbur" Woodward
2,381
5.8
Republican
Hess
2,207
5.4
Republican
Richonda Oaks
1,872
4.6
Total votes
40,691
100.0
Libertarian primary results[22] · District 5 › Libertarian primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
542
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Libertarian
Robin Dominick
542
100.0
Total votes
542
100.0
· District 5 › General election › Predictions
Safe D
Safe D
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Safe D
As of
July 2, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Safe D
As of
June 2, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Safe D
As of
July 2, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Politico
Ranking
Safe D
As of
April 19, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Daily Kos
Ranking
Safe D
As of
June 3, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
RCP
Ranking
Safe D
As of
June 9, 2020
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Niskanen
Ranking
Safe D
As of
June 7, 2020
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Safe D
July 2, 2020
Inside Elections
Safe D
June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe D
July 2, 2020
Politico
Safe D
April 19, 2020
Daily Kos
Safe D
June 3, 2020
RCP
Safe D
June 9, 2020
Niskanen
Safe D
June 7, 2020
· District 5 › General election › Polling
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
September 24 – October 7, 2020
Samplesize
135 (LV)
Marginof error
–
EmmanuelCleaver (D)
59%
RyanDerks (R)
26%
Other
1%
Undecided
7%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
EmmanuelCleaver (D)
RyanDerks (R)
Other
Undecided
YouGov
September 24 – October 7, 2020
135 (LV)
–
59%
26%
1%
7%
Missouri's 5th congressional district, 2020[34] · District 5 › General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
352,430
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent)
207,180
58.8
Republican
Ryan Derks
135,934
38.6
Libertarian
Robin Dominick
9,272
2.6
Write-in
44
0.0
Total votes
352,430
100.0
Democratic hold
Republican primary results[22] · District 6 › Republican primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
102,410
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Sam Graves (incumbent)
81,584
79.7
Republican
Chris Ryan
20,826
20.3
Total votes
102,410
100.0
Democratic primary results[22] · District 6 › Democratic primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
44,176
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Gena L. Ross
14,503
32.8
Democratic
Ramona Farris
11,882
26.9
Democratic
Henry Martin
9,393
21.3
Democratic
Charles West
6,951
15.7
Democratic
Donald Robert Sartain
1,447
3.3
Total votes
44,176
100.0
Libertarian primary results[22] · District 6 › Libertarian primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
431
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Libertarian
Jim Higgins
431
100.0
Total votes
431
100.0
· District 6 › General election › Predictions
Safe R
Safe R
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Safe R
As of
July 2, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 2, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Safe R
As of
July 2, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Politico
Ranking
Safe R
As of
April 19, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Daily Kos
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 3, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
RCP
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 9, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Niskanen
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 7, 2020
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Safe R
July 2, 2020
Inside Elections
Safe R
June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe R
July 2, 2020
Politico
Safe R
April 19, 2020
Daily Kos
Safe R
June 3, 2020
RCP
Safe R
June 9, 2020
Niskanen
Safe R
June 7, 2020
· District 6 › General election › Polling
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
September 24 – October 7, 2020
Samplesize
98 (LV)
Marginof error
–
SamGraves (R)
58%
GenaRoss (D)
36%
Other
1%
Undecided
6%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
SamGraves (R)
GenaRoss (D)
Other
Undecided
YouGov
September 24 – October 7, 2020
98 (LV)
–
58%
36%
1%
6%
Missouri's 6th congressional district, 2020[34] · District 6 › General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
385,779
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Sam Graves (incumbent)
258,709
67.1
Democratic
Gena Ross
118,926
30.8
Libertarian
Jim Higgins
8,144
2.1
Total votes
385,779
100.0
Republican hold
Republican primary results[22] · District 7 › Republican primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
104,965
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Billy Long (incumbent)
69,407
66.1
Republican
Eric Harleman
11,696
11.1
Republican
Kevin VanStory
10,486
10.0
Republican
Steve Chetnik
7,407
7.1
Republican
Camille Lombardi-Olive
5,969
5.7
Total votes
104,965
100.0
Democratic primary results[22] · District 7 › Democratic primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
30,568
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Teresa Montseny
30,568
100.0
Total votes
30,568
100.0
Libertarian primary results[22] · District 7 › Libertarian primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
508
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Libertarian
Kevin Craig
508
100.0
Total votes
508
100.0
· District 7 › General election › Predictions
Safe R
Safe R
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Safe R
As of
July 2, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 2, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Safe R
As of
July 2, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Politico
Ranking
Safe R
As of
April 19, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Daily Kos
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 3, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
RCP
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 9, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Niskanen
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 7, 2020
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Safe R
July 2, 2020
Inside Elections
Safe R
June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe R
July 2, 2020
Politico
Safe R
April 19, 2020
Daily Kos
Safe R
June 3, 2020
RCP
Safe R
June 9, 2020
Niskanen
Safe R
June 7, 2020
· District 7 › General election › Polling
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
September 24 – October 7, 2020
Samplesize
142 (LV)
Marginof error
–
BillyLong (R)
57%
TeresaMontseny (D)
32%
Other
2%
Undecided
10%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
BillyLong (R)
TeresaMontseny (D)
Other
Undecided
YouGov
September 24 – October 7, 2020
142 (LV)
–
57%
32%
2%
10%
Missouri's 7th congressional district, 2020[34] · District 7 › General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
369,283
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Billy Long (incumbent)
254,318
68.9
Democratic
Teresa Montseny
98,111
26.6
Libertarian
Kevin Craig
15,573
4.2
Independent
Audrey Richards (write-in)
1,279
0.3
Write-in
2
0.0
Total votes
369,283
100.0
Republican hold
Republican primary results[22] · District 8 › Republican primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
114,074
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Jason Smith (incumbent)
114,074
100.0
Total votes
114,074
100.0
Democratic primary results[22] · District 8 › Democratic primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
20,354
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Kathryn Ellis
20,354
100.0
Total votes
20,354
100.0
Libertarian primary results[22] · District 8 › Libertarian primary › Primary results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
265
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Libertarian
Tom Schmitz
265
100.0
Total votes
265
100.0
· District 8 › General election › Predictions
Safe R
Safe R
Source
The Cook Political Report
Ranking
Safe R
As of
July 2, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Inside Elections
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 2, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Safe R
As of
July 2, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Politico
Ranking
Safe R
As of
April 19, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Daily Kos
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 3, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
RCP
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 9, 2020
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Niskanen
Ranking
Safe R
As of
June 7, 2020
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report
Safe R
July 2, 2020
Inside Elections
Safe R
June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe R
July 2, 2020
Politico
Safe R
April 19, 2020
Daily Kos
Safe R
June 3, 2020
RCP
Safe R
June 9, 2020
Niskanen
Safe R
June 7, 2020
· District 8 › General election › Polling
YouGov
YouGov
Poll source
YouGov
Date(s)administered
September 24 – October 7, 2020
Samplesize
96 (LV)
Marginof error
–
JasonSmith (R)
72%
KathyEllis (D)
22%
Other
5%
Undecided
2%
Poll source
Date(s)administered
Samplesize
Marginof error
JasonSmith (R)
KathyEllis (D)
Other
Undecided
YouGov
September 24 – October 7, 2020
96 (LV)
–
72%
22%
5%
2%
Missouri's 8th congressional district, 2020[34] · District 8 › General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
330,226
Candidate
100.0
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Jason Smith (incumbent)
253,811
76.9
Democratic
Kathy Ellis
70,561
21.4
Libertarian
Tom Schmitz
5,854
1.8
Total votes
330,226
100.0
Republican hold

References

  1. Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
  2. "Don't recall" and Schulte (L) with 2%; Did not vote with 1%; Would not vote with 0%
  3. Poll released after the primary in August
  4. Poll conducted for the House Majority Pac.
  5. Ballotpedia
    https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Missouri,_2020
  6. "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20190403141334/https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WxDaxD5az6kdOjJncmGph37z0BPNhV1fNAH_g7IkpC0/htmlview
  7. St. Louis Public Radio
    https://news.stlpublicradio.org/government-politics-issues/2020-07-28/insurgency-vs-staying-power-bush-clay-rematch-latest-bout-in-national-democratic-conflict
  8. St. Louis Post-Dispatch
    https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/columns/joe-holleman/congressional-hopeful-cori-bush-featured-in-sundance-documentary/article_ff92c78e-dc3d-5c4b-bc53-d8d2999129c4.html
  9. St Louis Post-Dispatch
    https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/pelosi-promotes-house-election-law-package-clays-re-election-bid-in-st-louis-area-visit/article_d0c6d9cf-4248-5993-963d-7e5179248866.html
  10. "Kamala Harris Endorsements"
    https://medium.com/@KamalaHarris/kamala-harris-endorsements-68f1711e105
  11. Alliance for Retired Americans
    https://retiredamericans.org/retiree-group-endorses-representative-lacy-clay/
  12. We Are Progressives
    https://weareprogressives.org/9-20-endorsements/
  13. Planned Parenthood Action Fund
    https://web.archive.org/web/20191115032119/https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/elections/2020-endorsements#full
  14. Sierra Club
    https://www.sierraclubindependentaction.org/endorsements
  15. St Louis American
    http://www.stlamerican.com/news/editorials/the-st-louis-american-endorses/article_ee873cd8-cc98-11ea-a067-0712910dad95.html
  16. St Louis Post-Dispatch
    https://www.stltoday.com/opinion/editorial/editorial-we-recommend-rep-lacy-clay-in-the-u-s-house-district-1-democratic-primary/article_96660ef9-0c6a-5165-9173-a4e227dcaa03.html
  17. The Hill
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/480468-sanders-endorses-9-progressive-House-candidates
  18. Elle
    https://www.elle.com/culture/career-politics/a34474757/women-comeback-candidates-2020/
  19. Brand New Congress
    https://web.archive.org/web/20201114164110/https://brandnewcongress.org/Candidates/Cori-Bush
  20. Democratic Socialists of America
    https://electoral.dsausa.org/past-endorsements/
  21. Justice D
    https://www.justicedemocrats.com/candidates/
  22. NWPC
    https://www.nwpc.org/endorsedcandidates/
  23. Cori Bush for Congress
    https://web.archive.org/web/20201114164151/https://coribush.org/endorsements
  24. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/23/politics/jamaal-bowman-endorses-cori-bush-missouri-first-district-primary-lacy-clay/index.html
  25. Data for Progress
    http://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/8/primary_polling/dfp_mo_1.pdf
  26. Missouri Secretary of State
    https://enr.sos.mo.gov/
  27. Daily Beast
    https://www.thedailybeast.com/gop-house-candidate-winnie-heartstrong-insists-george-floyd-killing-was-staged
  28. FOX 2
    https://fox2now.com/news/missouri/stunning-wins-and-losses-in-missouris-august-primary-election/
  29. Riverfront Times
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200917165146/https://www.riverfronttimes.com/newsblog/2020/09/15/he-was-a-drug-smuggler-now-hes-a-proud-boy-and-running-against-cori-bush
  30. The Cook Political Report
    https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings
  31. Senate Ratings
    https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2020-senate-ratings-may-6-2019
  32. Sabato's Crystal Ball
    https://web.archive.org/web/20190822073139/http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-senate/
  33. "2020 Election Forecast"
    https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/senate/
  34. Daily Kos Elections
    https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/2/27/1922458/-Daily-Kos-Elections-releases-initial-Senate-race-ratings-for-2020
  35. "Battle for White House"
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/2020_elections_electoral_college_map.html
  36. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200621124503/https://www.niskanencenter.org/negative-partisanship-and-the-2020-congressional-elections/
  37. YouGov
    https://www.dropbox.com/s/8k0pvsrbbzcy8p6/slu-poll-october2020-toplineresults.pdf?dl=0
  38. Missouri Secretary of State
    https://enr.sos.mo.gov/
  39. KSDK - 5NBC
    https://www.ksdk.com/article/news/politics/jill-schupp-us-rep-ann-wagner-house-representatives-missouri-st-louis-county/63-6bc11617-18a4-488a-96e8-f4031d63766a
  40. "Missouri Democrats Said to Expect Gun Control Activist to Challenge Ann Wagner"
    https://morningconsult.com/2019/06/25/missouri-democrats-said-to-expect-gun-control-activist-to-challenge-ann-wagner/
  41. "A minor update on #MO02: Cort VanOstran @cortvo told me yesterday he is undecided on challenging Ann Wagner again and doesn't have a timeline to decide. He came within 4 points of beating her in a suburban St. Louis district"
    https://x.com/AlexClearfield/status/1080845002727739392
  42. Medium
    https://obama.medium.com/second-wave-of-2020-endorsements-981712d97a32
  43. KSDK
    https://www.ksdk.com/article/news/politics/elections/joe-biden-endorses-jill-schupp/63-23939572-5c47-44f3-a1f6-070333e91c20
  44. St. Louis American
    http://www.stlamerican.com/news/editorials/the-st-louis-american-endorses-jill-schupp-for-congress/article_0fa07ca4-096b-11eb-8456-335235d9ae12.html
  45. STLtoday.com
    https://www.stltoday.com/opinion/editorial/editorial-we-recommend-jill-schupp-for-missouris-2nd-congressional-district/article_2cdb1546-d10b-5c90-8584-a01bdae70f26.html
  46. Jill Schupp
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200816204118/https://www.jillschupp.com/
  47. www.metroweekly.com
    https://www.metroweekly.com/2020/06/human-rights-campaign-makes-congressional-endorsements-ahead-of-novembers-election/
  48. lcv.org
    https://www.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-endorses-jill-schupp-congress/
  49. plannedparenthoodaction.org
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200412100919/https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/2020-endorsements
  50. prochoiceamerica.org
    https://www.prochoiceamerica.org/2020/02/28/naral-endorses-jill-schupp-2/
  51. St. Louis Post-Dispatch
    https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/schupp-raises-more-money-than-wagner-in-st-louis-area-congressional-race/article_eedc7c86-dd8b-57be-8526-097066fe79b6.html
  52. > House Ratings
    https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house
  53. Politico
    https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/house/missouri-district-2/
  54. Daily Kos Elections
    https://www.dailykos.com/story/2020/8/31/1973530/-As-the-GOP-s-downballot-woes-continue-all-our-race-ratings-changes-once-again-favor-Democrats
  55. RCP
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/house/mo/missouri_2nd_district_wagner_vs_schupp-7156.html
  56. 538
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  57. Change Research
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  59. Public Policy Polling (D) Archived August 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
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  60. Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
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  61. Normington, Petts & Associates (D) Archived October 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
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  62. News Tribune
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  63. Ballotpedia
    https://ballotpedia.org/Brandon_Wilkinson
  64. News Tribune
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  65. My Leader Paper
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  66. Columbia Daily Tribune
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  67. Boonville Daily News
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  68. California Democrat
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  69. Columbia Missourian
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  70. News One
    https://newsone.com/3899020/kansas-city-congressional-candidate-thinks-bill-cosby-and-al-jarreau-are-the-same-person/
  71. Northeast News
    http://northeastnews.net/pages/august-4-candidate-guide-2/
  72. Barham for Congress
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    https://ballotpedia.org/Clay_Chastain
  74. The Missouri Times
    https://themissouritimes.com/ryan-derks-to-challenge-longtime-incumbent-for-kansas-city-based-congressional-district/
  75. Ballotpedia
    https://ballotpedia.org/R._H._Hess
  76. iVoter Guide
    https://ivoterguide.com/candidate?elecK=565&raceK=852&primarypartyk=R&canK=41411
  77. Ballotpedia
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  78. The Marshall Democrat-News
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  80. News-Press Now
    https://www.newspressnow.com/news/local_news/democratic-house-nominee-plans-people-first-message/article_cc7f7366-d7fc-11ea-bfdf-afe4ad4da400.html
  81. Bolivar Herald-Free Press
    https://bolivarmonews.com/election/primary-election-next-week/article_9f1c55da-d110-11ea-bae6-fb8b53fa24c8.html
  82. Steve Chetnik 2020
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  83. Branson Tri-Lakes News
    https://bransontrilakesnews.com/news_free/article_abcf4d0c-0278-11eb-a7a2-67291ce76036.html
  84. The Joplin Globe
    https://www.joplinglobe.com/news/local_news/four-challenge-7th-district-gop-incumbent-u-s-lawmaker/article_b25c100c-0bde-5b35-ae72-c45c4b4a057b.html
  85. "Democrat Kathy Ellis to challenge U.S. Rep. Jason Smith in 8th again"
    https://www.semissourian.com/story/2615461.html
  86. Standard Democrat
    https://standard-democrat.com/story/2826599.html
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