-
Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear
-
"No one" with 1%; Undecided with 3%
-
With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
-
With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
-
Undecided with 10%
-
"Other/none" with 1%; Undecided with 8%
-
"Other/none" with 1%; Undecided with 7%
-
Standard VI response
-
Response after pollster addresses respondents with message testing
-
Not yet released
-
"Refused" with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
-
Includes "Do not remember"
-
Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 658
-
Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 674
-
Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 667
-
"Other" and "No one" with 1%; Undecided with 6%
-
"Other/none" with 1%; Undecided with 6%
-
"Refused" with 5%; "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
-
Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 658
-
Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 674
-
Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 667
-
"Other" with 0%; Undecided with 2%
-
"Holder (L)/Other" with 3%; Undecided with 5%
-
"Holder (L)/Other" with 2%; Undecided with 5%
-
Undecided with 7%
-
Undecided with 5%
-
"Refused" with 4%; "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
-
Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 658
-
Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 674
-
Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 667
-
If only King and Feenstra were candidates
-
"Another candidate" with 9%
-
"Another candidate" with 8%
-
Bret Richards with 2%
-
If respondents had to choose between the two candidates for which percentages are listed
-
"Undecided/don't know/refused" with 12%
-
"Undecided/don't know/refused" with 17%
-
"Other" and "No one" with 2%; Undecided with 6%
-
Undecided with 11%
-
"Other/none" with 4%; Undecided with 8%
-
"Other/none" with 3%; Undecided with 7%
-
"Refused" with 4%; "Someone else" and would not vote with 3%
-
Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 658
-
Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 674
-
Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 667
-
This poll's sponsor, the Congressional Leadership Fund, had endorsed Hinson prior to the poll's sampling period.
-
This poll was sponsored by the NRCC
-
The Future Leaders Fund is a pro-Republican PAC
-
Poll conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund.
-
American Future Fund is a PAC supporting Randy Feenstra
-
Richards with 3%
-
Poll sponsored by Feenstra's campaign
-
Poll sponsored by Scholten's campaign.
-
Poll sponsored by Majority Rules PAC
-
"2018 House Popular Vote Tracker"
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WxDaxD5az6kdOjJncmGph37z0BPNhV1fNAH_g7IkpC0/htmlview -
Roll Call
https://www.rollcall.com/news/house-freshmen-try-keep-local-presidential-race-steals-spotlight -
"First Wave of 2020 Endorsements"
https://medium.com/@BarackObama/first-wave-of-2020-endorsements-43b2b0c667f6 -
"2020 Endorsements | Warren Democrats"
https://web.archive.org/web/20210803201203/https://elizabethwarren.com/endorsements/2020?page=0&q=abby%20finkenauer#abby-finkenauer -
EMILY's List
https://www.emilyslist.org/candidates/gallery/house -
End Citizens United
https://web.archive.org/web/20191208110122/https://endcitizensunited.org/endorsed-candidates/ -
JStreetPAC
https://web.archive.org/web/20180502152638/https://donate.jstreetpac.org/candidate-directory/ -
League of Conservation Voters
https://www.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-announces-second-round-2020-environmental-majority-makers/ -
NARAL Pro-Choice America
https://web.archive.org/web/20200805103419/https://www.prochoiceamerica.org/2019/03/08/naral-first-2020-endorsements/ -
plannedparenthoodaction.org
https://web.archive.org/web/20191115032119/https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/elections/2020-endorsements#full -
Sierra Club Independent Action
https://www.sierraclubindependentaction.org/endorsements -
Iowa Secretary of State
https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2020/primary/canvsummary.pdf -
"Ashley Hinson announces run for 1st Congressional District"
https://web.archive.org/web/20190513161753/https://www.weareiowa.com/news/local-news/ashley-hinson-announces-run-for-1st-congressional-district/1998911201 -
The Gazette
https://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/republican-thomas-hansen-running-for-congress-in-1st-distric-20190620 -
"Rod Blum Is Still Running Ads In His Old District"
https://iowastartingline.com/2019/02/21/rod-blum-is-still-running-ads-in-his-old-district/ -
The Gazette
https://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/government/gov-kim-reynolds-endorses-ashley-hinson-us-district-1-20191016 -
Maggie's List
http://maggieslist.org/candidates/2020-candidates -
Susan B. Anthony List
https://web.archive.org/web/20191206204640/https://www.sba-list.org/candidate/ashley-hinson -
C-SPAN
https://www.c-span.org/video/?476575-1/iowa-1st-congressional-district-debate -
The Cook Political Report
https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings -
Senate Ratings
https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2020-senate-ratings-may-6-2019 -
Sabato's Crystal Ball
https://web.archive.org/web/20190822073139/http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-senate/ -
Politico
https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/senate/ -
Daily Kos Elections
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/2/27/1922458/-Daily-Kos-Elections-releases-initial-Senate-race-ratings-for-2020 -
"Battle for White House"
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/2020_elections_electoral_college_map.html -
"2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections"
https://web.archive.org/web/20200621124503/https://www.niskanencenter.org/negative-partisanship-and-the-2020-congressional-elections/ -
"Forecasting the US elections"
https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/house -
Monmouth University
https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_ia_102220.pdf/ -
Basswood Research (R)
https://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/government/poll-for-republican-pac-shows-iowa-1st-district-race-tied-45-45-20201002 -
Monmouth University
https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_IA_080520/ -
Public Opinion Strategies (R) Archived March 20, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
http://www.nrcc.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/IA-01-Memo-for-Release-002.pdf -
Harper Polling (R)
https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000170-179b-d830-a7ff-f79f5e080000 -
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/10/31/election-2020-iowa-poll-president-donald-trump-leads-joe-biden/6061937002/ -
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register
https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/09/20/iowa-poll-all-four-iowas-congressional-races-up-grabs/5829937002/ -
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register
https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/06/14/iowa-poll-likely-voters-prefer-democrats-3-4-u-s-house-districts/3175725001/ -
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register
https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/03/11/iowans-lean-toward-republicans-congress-election-2020-iowa-poll/4978477002/ -
Iowa Secretary of State
https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2020/general/canvsummary.pdf -
Quad-City Times
https://qctimes.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/iowa-congressman-dave-loebsack-to-retire-from-congress-in/article_e17ff9ef-980c-59be-b8f6-a57a73d517ad.html -
"Rita Hart throws hat in race for U.S. Rep. Loebsack's seat"
https://www.press-citizen.com/story/news/2019/05/14/rita-hart-throws-hat-race-us-rep-loebsack-iowa-2nd-congressional-district-seat/3664340002/ -
Iowa City Press-Citizen
https://www.press-citizen.com/story/news/2020/03/02/after-quiet-campaign-abuissa-suspends-campaign-loebsacks-seat/4932680002/ -
Quad-City Times
https://qctimes.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/scott-county-supervisor-ken-croken-bows-out-of-congressional-race/article_6b884b2b-4a97-51b6-86d0-6bab1da083f8.html -
The Daily Iowan
https://dailyiowan.com/2019/04/22/whos-considering-a-2020-run-for-dave-loebsacks-seat-in-congress/ -
The Gazette
https://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/government/kevin-kinney-decides-against-open-seat-race-for-iowas-2nd-district-us-house-seat-20190501 -
"IA-02 primary: Hart gaining strength, Croken considering, Russell's out"
https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2019/05/23/ia-02-primary-hart-gaining-strength-croken-considering-russells-out/ -
The Daily Iowan
https://dailyiowan.com/2019/05/03/iowa-city-business-owner-veronica-tessler-wont-run-for-congress/ -
Iowa City Press-Citizen
https://www.press-citizen.com/story/news/2019/07/10/former-challenger-tessler-endorses-rita-hart-2nd-congressional-race/1698299001/ -
". @RitaHartIA rolls out endorsements for her #IA02 campaign from nearly every notable Democratic leader in the 2nd District"
https://x.com/IAStartingLine/status/1131218979635257344 -
Bleeding Heartland
https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2019/05/14/why-rita-hart-is-favored-to-win-the-ia-02-democratic-primary/ -
Bleeding Heartland
https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2019/06/11/ia-02-abby-finkenauer-cindy-axne-endorse-rita-hart/ -
"Amy Klobuchar endorses her second round of House/Senate candidates through her Win Big Project"
https://x.com/ec_schneider/status/1263510204915867649 -
The Des Moines Register
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2019/05/29/house-election-2020-dave-loebsack-endorses-rita-hart-2nd-congressional-race/1282059001/ -
The Gazette
https://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/government/iowa-auditor-rob-sand-endorses-rita-hart-for-2nd-district-race-dave-loebsack-20190603 -
Waterloo Cedar Falls Courier
https://wcfcourier.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/scott-county-supervisor-ken-croken-bows-out-of-congressional-race/article_7049232c-810a-5cac-9cbd-2f8584dbf9af.html -
Iowa Starting Line
https://iowastartingline.com/2019/05/22/long-list-of-prominent-ia-02-dems-endorse-rita-hart/ -
Politico
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/01/28/dccc-red-to-blue-program-107475 -
emilyslist.org
https://emilyslist.org/news/entry/emilys-list-endorses-rita-hart-in-iowas-2nd-district -
End Citizens United
https://endcitizensunited.org/press-releases/end-citizens-united-endorses-rita-hart-ia-02/ -
giffords.org
https://giffords.org/press-release/2020/04/women-slate-endorsements/ -
www.metroweekly.com
https://www.metroweekly.com/2020/06/human-rights-campaign-makes-congressional-endorsements-ahead-of-novembers-election/ -
League of Conservation Voters
https://www.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-endorses-rita-hart-j-d-scholten-congress/ -
NARAL Pro-Choice America
https://www.prochoiceamerica.org/2019/11/14/naral-endorses-rita-hart-congress/ -
Iowa City Press-Citizen
https://www.press-citizen.com/story/news/politics/2019/10/01/miller-meeks-enters-race-loebsacks-seat-congress/3820495002/ -
Clinton Herald
https://www.clintonherald.com/news/local_news/borchardt-runs-for-congress-as-alternative-to-miller-meeks-schilling/article_8375d548-78de-11ea-8b86-17d89b6e3f11.html -
"Knoxville's Everly announces run for Congress"
https://web.archive.org/web/20190718021833/https://www.journalexpress.net/news/local_news/knoxville-s-everly-announces-run-for-congress/article_7d0c356d-e5e8-56c5-8bf0-e47288970068.html -
The Chronicle
https://web.archive.org/web/20200324183431/https://www.pellachronicle.com/news/local_news/rick-phillips-announces-run-for-iowa-s-nd-u-s/article_b6df360e-6d08-11ea-84f9-abaa666a9e92.html -
The Gazette
https://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/former-illinois-rep-bobby-schilling-to-run-for-us-house-district-2-seat-in-iowa-20190708 -
"Republican Kedley pulls out of 2nd Congressional race"
https://www.press-citizen.com/story/news/2019/06/22/republican-kedley-pulls-out-2nd-congressional-race/1537770001/ -
"Iowa's Dave Loebsack will not run for re-election in 2020"
http://www.rollcall.com/news/campaigns/iowas-dave-loebsack-will-not-run-re-election-2020 -
The Gazette
https://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/government/representative-dave-loebsack-retirement-leaves-2nd-district-race-wide-open-20190412 -
The Gazette
https://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/government/rep-bobby-kaufmann-wont-seek-us-house-2nd-district-seat-dave-loebsack-20190520 -
"House recruiting notebook: NC-09 Republicans pick their candidate"
https://subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2019/05/house-recruiting-notebook-nc-09-republicans-pick-their-candidate-1487018 -
"Why Dave Loebsack's retirement makes IA-02 a toss-up race"
https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2019/04/13/why-dave-loebsacks-retirement-makes-ia-02-a-toss-up-race/ -
"Republican Christopher Peters will not take third shot at Iowa's 2nd District seat"
https://www.press-citizen.com/story/news/2019/05/16/christopher-peters-not-seek-fill-retiring-rep-dave-loebsacks-seat/3694503002/ -
"Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst endorses Mariannette Miller-Meeks in 2nd District congressional race"
https://qctimes.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/iowa-sen-joni-ernst-endorses-mariannette-miller-meeks-in-2nd-district-congressional-race/article_e60ca5c5-09aa-5878-8aa1-8446df3d0587.html -
Quad-City Times
https://qctimes.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/branstads-back-miller-meeks-for-congress/article_bff46542-1107-5426-a176-3f8667e14f7e.html -
Iowa City Press-Citizen
https://www.press-citizen.com/story/news/2019/12/05/miller-meeks-announces-endorsement-sec-ag-naig-iowa-congressional-district/2619161001/ -
Iowa City Press-Citizen
https://www.press-citizen.com/story/news/2019/11/07/gov-reynolds-endorses-miller-meeks-2nd-district/2519736001/ -
"Jim Jordan Endorses Bobby Schilling in Iowa's 2nd Congressional District Race"
https://caffeinatedthoughts.com/2020/04/jim-jordan-endorses-bobby-schilling-in-iowas-2nd-congressional-district-race/ -
C-SPAN
https://www.c-span.org/video/?476812-1/iowa-2nd-congressional-district-debate -
Harper Polling (R)
https://www.congressionalleadershipfund.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/Harper-Polling-IA-02-July-Survey.pdf -
Iowa Public Radio
https://www.iowapublicradio.org/ipr-news/2020-11-30/state-certifies-miller-meeks-as-winner-in-iowas-2nd-congressional-district-but-a-legal-challenge-may-follow -
"Iowa Democrat will challenge election results with House"
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/12/02/rita-hart-iowa-challenge-election-results-442224 -
Associated Press
https://apnews.com/article/election-2020-iowa-mariannette-miller-meeks-elections-iowa-city-942cd6e80ec6f269193ff5d47f09bee1 -
CNN
https://www.cnn.com/2021/03/22/politics/iowa-house-race-democrats-backlash/index.html -
The Hill
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/545829-rita-hart-withdraws-challenge-in-contested-iowa-house-race -
The Des Moines Register
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2019/05/06/david-young-run-2020-congress-3rd-district-iowa-cindy-axne-challenge/1123122001/ -
The Des Moines Register
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2019/05/13/iowa-third-congressional-district-republican-veteran-bill-schafer-democrat-cindy-axne-david-young/1189478001/ -
"Where things stand in Iowa's Senate, Congressional races"
https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2019/09/01/where-things-stand-in-iowas-senate-congressional-races/ -
"State Sen. Zach Nunn won't run for Congress"
https://web.archive.org/web/20190718192855/https://www.weareiowa.com/news/local-news/state-sen-zach-nunn-wont-run-for-congress/ -
National Journal
https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/676323/brad-zaun-rules-out-axne-challenge -
The Des Moines Register
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2018/08/15/iowa-state-fair-2018-soapbox-politics-dates-bryan-jack-holder-fairgrounds-libertarian-axne-young/928088002/ -
The Tarrance Group (R) Archived July 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
https://www.nrcc.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/IA-03-0720-polling-memo.pdf -
Sioux City Journal
https://siouxcityjournal.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/randy-feenstra-to-challenge-fellow-republican-steve-king-in-iowa/article_5e317bca-0624-5439-a0c6-1e3e0813d83a.html -
The Des Moines Register
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2019/02/21/steve-king-run-2020-sorry-apologize-racism-iowa-representative-rep-election-confederate-defiant/2941915002/ -
Sioux City Journal
https://siouxcityjournal.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/arnolds-park-businessman-becomes-fourth-republican-in-race-to-oust/article_8ec55a6d-685a-5c73-aa73-68e8640779ee.html -
The Des Moines Register
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/opinion/columnists/kathie-obradovich/2019/01/10/steve-king-gop-primary-challenger-i-wont-embarrass-iowa-white-supremacy-racism-immigration-2020/2535478002/ -
The Des Moines Register
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2019/01/24/iowa-steve-king-challenge-primary-election-white-supremacy-nationalism-jeremy-taylor-district-4th/2667001002/ -
The Washington Post
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/paloma/the-trailer/2019/01/15/the-trailer-the-message-of-julian-castro-s-visit-to-puerto-rico/5c3e00681b326b66fc5a1c53/ -
Sioux City Journal
https://siouxcityjournal.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/jeremy-taylor-of-sioux-city-enters-gop-primary-to-unseat/article_f5f25f13-0f9a-503c-b828-f030648c00ad.html -
National Journal
https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/676344/gop-efforts-to-oust-steve-king-gain-steam -
"IA-04: Randy Feenstra to challenge Steve King; Rick Sanders thinking about it"
https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2019/01/09/ia-04-randy-feenstra-to-challenge-steve-king-rick-sanders-thinking-about-it-2/ -
Radio Iowa
https://www.radioiowa.com/2019/09/30/upmeyer-stepping-down-as-speaker-of-iowa-house/ -
Bleeding Heartland
https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2019/06/12/ia-04-randy-feenstra-going-all-in-on-beating-steve-king/ -
Caffeinated Thoughts
https://caffeinatedthoughts.com/2019/09/kraayenbrink-endorses-feenstra-in-iowas-4th-congressional-district-race/ -
The Hill
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/424731-ben-shapiro-urges-congress-censure-steve-king-after-he-questions-why-term/ -
The Des Moines Register
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2019/07/18/steve-king-4th-district-primary-gop-republican-randy-feenstra-the-family-leader-bob-vander-plaats/1770105001/ -
"Republican Jewish Coalition Endorses Rep. Steve King's Primary Opponent"
https://www.algemeiner.com/2020/05/08/republican-jewish-coalition-endorses-rep-steve-kings-primary-opponent/ -
"Archived copy"
https://web.archive.org/web/20200514081235/http://mainstreetpac.com/republican-main-street-partnership-pac-announces-endorsement-of-seven-congressional-candidates-in-key-suburban-districts-2/ -
The Des Moines Register
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2020/05/05/steve-king-randy-feenstra-republican-primary-us-chamber-of-commerce-endorsement/3078584001/ -
Sioux City Journal
https://siouxcityjournal.com/opinion/editorial/our-opinion-feenstra-represents-best-choice-for-republicans-in-4th-district-u-s-house-primary/article_e89b30a3-289b-5911-b77f-ebff6a685691.html -
"Congressman Steve King receives campaign endorsement from former Rep. Klemme"
https://www.siouxlandproud.com/news/local-news/congressman-steve-king-receives-campaign-endorsement-from-former-rep-klemme/ -
"Sam Clovis Endorses Steve King | Caffeinated Thoughts"
https://caffeinatedthoughts.com/2020/05/sam-clovis-endorses-steve-king/ -
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
https://twitter.com/robertblizzard/status/1263050383884197889 -
American Viewpoint
https://drive.google.com/file/d/12lTkIrwJXXkZko4R0aPdnzpNcy_dttZW/view -
American Viewpoint
https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000171-c3ae-d9e7-a3f1-cbffde2f0000 -
G1 Survey Research
https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5a95c6f4f2e6b174b5780c4e/t/5d9b81dd265a9f6db3c94050/1570472414702/King+Primary+Poll.pdf -
Steve King. A new poll shows me beating my 4 primary opponents 59% to their combined 23%! Twitter
https://twitter.com/SteveKingIA/status/1181292497651171328 -
"Iowa native JD Scholten announces second bid to unseat GOP Rep. Steve King"
https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/05/politics/jd-scholten-challenges-steve-king/index.html -
Politico
https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/house/ -
Change Research (D)
https://siouxcityjournal.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/scholten-poll-shows-him-trailing-feenstra-by-5-points-in-iowa-4th-district/article_1677efa1-1fb6-55d0-9b80-ceb17e6f5729.html -
American Viewpoint (R)
https://siouxcityjournal.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/feenstra-internal-poll-shows-23-point-lead-over-scholten-in-iowa-4th-race/article_0ba1571a-28bc-5dbf-8046-53290ae3b321.html -
20/20 Insight (D)
https://iowastartingline.com/2019/01/18/ia-04-poll-steve-kings-support-sinking-back-home-dem-leads-matchup/
