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2018 United States Senate election in Texas

Updated: Wikipedia source

2018 United States Senate election in Texas

The 2018 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 6, 2018, along with other elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives in additional states. Incumbent Republican U . Senator Ted Cruz secured a second term, defeating Democratic U . Representative Beto O'Rourke. The primary was held on March 6, 2018, the first primary of the 2018 season. No Democrat has won a general election for statewide office in Texas since Bob Bullock was reelected as lieutenant governor in 1994, with election forecasters declaring it a safe Republican seat at the beginning of the 2018 cycle. However, O'Rourke gradually closed the gap. Leading up to the election, the race was considered unexpectedly competitive. On Election Day, Cruz defeated O'Rourke by a margin of just under 215,000 votes, or 2 percent; the race was the closest U . Senate race in Texas since 1978.

Infobox

Turnout
53 % (of registered voters) 42 % (of voting age population)
Nominee
Ted Cruz
Party
Republican
Popular vote
4,260,553
Percentage
50 %

Tables

· Republican primary › Polling
Dixie Strategies
Dixie Strategies
Poll source
Dixie Strategies
Date(s) administered
February 22–23, 2018
Sample size
Margin of error
± 4 %
Ted Cruz
73%
Stefano de Stefano
1%
Bruce Jacobson
2%
Mary Miller
2%
Geraldine Sam
1%
Undecided
21%
University of Texas
University of Texas
Poll source
University of Texas
Date(s) administered
February 1–12, 2018
Sample size
612
Margin of error
± 5 %
Ted Cruz
91%
Stefano de Stefano
1%
Bruce Jacobson
3%
Mary Miller
3%
Geraldine Sam
2%
Undecided
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Ted Cruz
Stefano de Stefano
Bruce Jacobson
Mary Miller
Geraldine Sam
Undecided
Dixie Strategies
February 22–23, 2018
± 4 %
73%
1%
2%
2%
1%
21%
University of Texas
February 1–12, 2018
612
± 5 %
91%
1%
3%
3%
2%
Dixie Strategies
Dixie Strategies
Poll source
Dixie Strategies
Date(s) administered
September 29 – October 1, 2016
Sample size
321
Margin of error
± 3 %
Ted Cruz
52%
Michael McCaul
12%
Other
7%
Undecided
29%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s) administered
August 12–14, 2016
Sample size
522
Margin of error
Ted Cruz
51%
Michael McCaul
19%
Other
Undecided
31%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Ted Cruz
Michael McCaul
Other
Undecided
Dixie Strategies
September 29 – October 1, 2016
321
± 3 %
52%
12%
7%
29%
Public Policy Polling
August 12–14, 2016
522
51%
19%
31%
Dixie Strategies
Dixie Strategies
Poll source
Dixie Strategies
Date(s) administered
August 8–9, 2016
Sample size
448
Margin of error
Ted Cruz
40%
George P. Bush
21%
Other
12%
Undecided
27%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Ted Cruz
George P. Bush
Other
Undecided
Dixie Strategies
August 8–9, 2016
448
40%
21%
12%
27%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s) administered
August 12–14, 2016
Sample size
522
Margin of error
Ted Cruz
49%
Dan Patrick
27%
Other
Undecided
24%
Dixie Strategies
Dixie Strategies
Poll source
Dixie Strategies
Date(s) administered
August 8–9, 2016
Sample size
448
Margin of error
Ted Cruz
38%
Dan Patrick
23%
Other
15%
Undecided
24%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Ted Cruz
Dan Patrick
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
August 12–14, 2016
522
49%
27%
24%
Dixie Strategies
August 8–9, 2016
448
38%
23%
15%
24%
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Poll source
Public Policy Polling
Date(s) administered
August 12–14, 2016
Sample size
522
Margin of error
Ted Cruz
37%
Rick Perry
46%
Undecided
18%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Ted Cruz
Rick Perry
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
August 12–14, 2016
522
37%
46%
18%

References

  1. American Citizen Party does not have ballot access. Appears on ballot as "Independent".
  2. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
  3. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  4. Not yet released
  5. "Turnout and Voter Registration Figures (1970-current)"
    https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/historical/70-92.shtml
  6. The Green Papers
    https://www.thegreenpapers.com/G18/TX
  7. "Meet the Merry Band of Texas Democrats Running for Statewide Office"
    https://www.texasobserver.org/meet-the-merry-band-of-texas-democrats-running-for-statewide-office/
  8. "How Much Trouble Is Ted Cruz Really In?"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20180831152924/https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-much-trouble-is-ted-cruz-really-in/
  9. "Ted Cruz's surprisingly competitive battle against Beto O'Rourke, explained"
    https://www.vox.com/2018/9/12/17841716/ted-cruz-beto-orourke-senate-midterm
  10. CBS News
    https://www.cbsnews.com/live-news/texas-senate-race-beto-orourke-ted-cruz-election-results-polls-vote-count-2018-11-06-live-updates/
  11. www
    https://www.houstonchronicle.com/news/politics/texas/article/Ted-Cruz-s-margin-of-victory-over-Beto-13448497.php
  12. Morning Consult
    https://morningconsult.com/2018/04/12/americas-most-and-least-popular-senators/
  13. The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/05/11/ted-cruz-files-to-run-for-reelection-in-2018/
  14. Houston Chronicle
    https://www.chron.com/news/politics/article/Houston-energy-lawyer-to-challenge-Cruz-in-2018-11299374.php
  15. Dallas Morning News
    https://www.dallasnews.com/news/elections/2017/11/16/christian-tv-producer-north-richland-hills-will-challenge-sen-ted-cruz-gop-primary
  16. Fort Worth Star-Telegram
    http://www.star-telegram.com/news/politics-government/election/article188979339.html
  17. Fort Worth Star-Telegram
    http://www.star-telegram.com/news/politics-government/election/article184168366.html
  18. The Amarillo Pioneer
    https://www.amarillopioneer.com/blog/2017/11/15/geraldine-sam-to-run-for-senate
  19. Fort Worth Star-Telegram
    http://www.star-telegram.com/news/local/community/fort-worth/article187347883.html
  20. "EXCLUSIVE: Former mayor Dan McQueen announces U . Senate bid"
    http://www.caller.com/story/news/local/2017/08/09/exclusive-former-mayor-dan-mcqueen-announces-u-s-senate-bid/554184001/
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