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2016 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

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2016 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

The 2016 United States presidential election in Wisconsin was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election. Wisconsin voters chose ten electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting Republican nominee Donald Trump against Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. On April 5, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Wisconsin voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic and Republican parties' respective nominees for president in an open primary; voters were allowed to vote in either party's primary regardless of their own party affiliation. Bernie Sanders prevailed in Wisconsin's Democratic primary, while Ted Cruz won Wisconsin's Republican primary. In the general election, Donald Trump unexpectedly won Wisconsin, defeating Clinton by a margin of 0 %, with 47 % of the total votes to 46 %, the lowest percentage of victory since 2000. Trump's victory in Wisconsin was attributed to overwhelming and underestimated support from white working-class citizens in the state's rural areas, a demographic that had previously tended to either vote for the Democratic candidate or did not vote at all. As of the 2024 presidential race, this is the last time that Door County voted for the Republican candidate in a presidential election, and the only time since 1960 that the Democratic presidential nominee won the nationwide popular vote without winning Wisconsin.

Infobox

Turnout
67 %
Nominee
Donald Trump
Party
Republican
Home state
New York
Running mate
Mike Pence
Electoral vote
10
Popular vote
1,405,284
Percentage
47 %

Tables

· Primaries › Democratic primary › Democratic primary, April 2016
Candidate
Candidate
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Candidate
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Popular vote
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Estimated delegates
Count
Count
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Count
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Percentage
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Pledged
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Unpledged
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Total
Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Bernie Sanders
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
570,192
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
56 %
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
48
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
1
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
49
Hillary Clinton
Hillary Clinton
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Hillary Clinton
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
433,739
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
43 %
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
38
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
9
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
47
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
1,732
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
0 %
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente (write-in)
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente (write-in)
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente (write-in)
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
18
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
0 %
Scattering
Scattering
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Scattering
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
431
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
0 %
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Uncommitted
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
1,488
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
0 %
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
0
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
0
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
0
Total
Total
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Total
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
1,007,600
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
100%
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
86
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
10
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
96
Source:
Source:
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Source:
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Candidate
Popular vote
Estimated delegates
Count
Percentage
Pledged
Unpledged
Total
Bernie Sanders
570,192
56 %
48
1
49
Hillary Clinton
433,739
43 %
38
9
47
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
1,732
0 %
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente (write-in)
18
0 %
Scattering
431
0 %
Uncommitted
1,488
0 %
0
0
0
Total
1,007,600
100%
86
10
96
Source:
Wisconsin Republican primary, April 5, 2016 · Primaries › Republican primary › Republican primary, April 2016
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Ted Cruz
Ted Cruz
Candidate
Ted Cruz
Votes
533,079
Percentage
48 %
Actual delegate count
36
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
36
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
387,295
Percentage
35 %
Actual delegate count
6
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
6
John Kasich
John Kasich
Candidate
John Kasich
Votes
155,902
Percentage
14 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
Candidate
Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
Votes
10,591
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
Votes
5,660
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
Candidate
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
Votes
3,054
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
Candidate
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
Votes
2,519
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
2,281
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
Candidate
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
Votes
1,424
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Candidate
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Votes
1,191
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
Candidate
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
Votes
772
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
Candidate
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
Votes
511
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)
Candidate
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)
Votes
245
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Victor Williams (write-in)
Victor Williams (write-in)
Candidate
Victor Williams (write-in)
Votes
39
Percentage
<0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Unprojected delegates:
Unprojected delegates:
Candidate
Unprojected delegates:
Votes
0
Percentage
0
Actual delegate count
0
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
1,105,944
Percentage
100 %
Actual delegate count
42
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
42
Source: The Green Papers
Source: The Green Papers
Candidate
Source: The Green Papers
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Ted Cruz
533,079
48 %
36
0
36
Donald Trump
387,295
35 %
6
0
6
John Kasich
155,902
14 %
0
0
0
Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
10,591
0 %
0
0
0
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
5,660
0 %
0
0
0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
3,054
0 %
0
0
0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
2,519
0 %
0
0
0
Uncommitted
2,281
0 %
0
0
0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
1,424
0 %
0
0
0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
1,191
0 %
0
0
0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
772
0 %
0
0
0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
511
0 %
0
0
0
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)
245
0 %
0
0
0
Victor Williams (write-in)
39
<0 %
0
0
0
Unprojected delegates:
0
0
0
Total:
1,105,944
100 %
42
0
42
Source: The Green Papers
Wisconsin Green Party presidential convention, April 13, 2016 · Primaries › Green Party presidential preference convention
Jill Stein
Jill Stein
Candidate
Jill Stein
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
7
William Kreml
William Kreml
Candidate
William Kreml
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
1
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry
Candidate
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Darryl Cherney
Darryl Cherney
Candidate
Darryl Cherney
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Kent Mesplay
Kent Mesplay
Candidate
Kent Mesplay
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
-
Percentage
100 %
National delegates
8
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Jill Stein
7
William Kreml
1
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry
Darryl Cherney
Kent Mesplay
Total
-
100 %
8
· General election › Predictions
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Los Angeles Times
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 6, 2016
Lean D
Lean D
Source
CNN
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 4, 2016
Lean D
Lean D
Source
Cook Political Report
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 7, 2016
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Electoral-vote
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 8, 2016
Tilt D
Tilt D
Source
Rothenberg Political Report
Ranking
Tilt D
As of
November 7, 2016
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 7, 2016
Lean D
Lean D
Source
RealClearPolitics
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 8, 2016
Lean D
Lean D
Source
Fox News
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 7, 2016
Source
Ranking
As of
Los Angeles Times
Likely D
November 6, 2016
CNN
Lean D
November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report
Lean D
November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote
Likely D
November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report
Tilt D
November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely D
November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics
Lean D
November 8, 2016
Fox News
Lean D
November 7, 2016
2016 United States presidential election in Wisconsin · General election › Results
Totals
Totals
Party
Totals
Party
2,976,150
Candidate
100 %
Running mate
10
Source: Wisconsin Elections Commission
Source: Wisconsin Elections Commission
Party
Source: Wisconsin Elections Commission
Party
Candidate
Running mate
Votes
Percentage
Electoral votes
Republican
Donald Trump
Mike Pence
1,405,284
47 %
10
Democratic
Hillary Clinton
Tim Kaine
1,382,536
46 %
0
Libertarian
Gary Johnson
Bill Weld
106,674
3 %
0
Green
Jill Stein
Ajamu Baraka
31,072
1 %
0
Constitution
Darrell L. Castle
Scott N. Bradley
12,162
0 %
0
Independent (write-in votes)
Evan McMullin
Nathan Johnson
11,855
0 %
0
Workers World
Monica Moorehead
Lamont Lilly
1,770
0 %
0
Independent
Rocky De La Fuente
Michael Steinberg
1,502
0 %
0
Others / Write-In Votes
-
-
23,295
0 %
0
Totals
2,976,150
100 %
10
Source: Wisconsin Elections Commission

References

  1. Republicans Richard Nixon in 1972, George W. Bush in 2000, and Mitt Romney in 2012 also all won Iron County, however, th
  2. elections
    http://elections.wi.gov/elections-voting/statistics/turnout
  3. "White working-class voters flipped Wisconsin red"
    http://www.cbsnews.com/news/white-working-class-voters-flipped-wisconsin-red/
  4. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/10/upshot/why-trump-won-working-class-whites.html
  5. NBC News
    http://www.nbcnews.com/card/nbc-news-exit-poll-wisconsin-trump-energizes-white-working-class-n681036
  6. The Green Papers
    http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/WI-D
  7. Wisconsin Secretary of State
    http://www.gab.wi.gov/sites/default/files/Canvass%20Results_4.pdf
  8. "WIGP Spring Gathering & Presidential Nominating Convention Sat. 4/16 in Madison"
    http://www.wisconsingreenparty.org/wigp_spring_gathering_presidential_nominating_convention_sat_4_16_in_madison
  9. Facebook
    https://www.facebook.com/william.kreml/posts/10206584262066061?pnref=story
  10. usaelections-2016
    https://web.archive.org/web/20161019004855/http://usaelections-2016.com/wisconsin-presidential-election-2016-results-live-updates/959/
  11. Los Angeles Times
    http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/trailguide/la-na-trailguide-updates-here-s-our-final-electoral-map-of-the-1478473458-htmlstory.html
  12. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2016/11/04/politics/road-to-270-electoral-college-map-november-4-duplicate/
  13. The Cook Political Report
    https://web.archive.org/web/20190301010353/https://cookpolitical.com/presidential/charts/scorecard
  14. Electoral-vote
    https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2016/Pres/Maps/Nov08.html
  15. "Presidential Ratings"
    http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/president/2016-presidential-ratings-november-7-2016
  16. University of Virginia Center for Politics
    http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-president/
  17. "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House"
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html
  18. "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge"
    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-electoral-scorecard-map-shifts-again-in-trumps-favor-as-clinton-holds-edge
  19. 2016 Wisconsin election forecast (538), accessed October 20, 2020
    https://web.archive.org/web/20160702061020/http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/wisconsin/
  20. Trump Out-Campaigned Clinton by 50 Percent in Key Battleground States in Final Stretch. NBC News. 13 November 2016.
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/trump-out-campaigned-clinton-50-percent-key-battlegrounds-final-100-n683116
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