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2016 United States presidential election in Virginia

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2016 United States presidential election in Virginia

The 2016 United States presidential election in Virginia was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 general election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. The Democratic candidate, Hillary Clinton of New York, carried Virginia with a 49 % plurality in the popular vote against businessman Donald Trump of New York, who carried 44 %, a victory margin of 5 %. Clinton seemed to benefit from having former Virginia governor Tim Kaine on the ticket. Whereas the national popular vote swung 1 % Republican from the previous election, Virginia swung 1 % Democratic. However, due to a higher third-party vote, Clinton's percentage was lower than Obama's in both 2008 and 2012 (although her raw vote total slightly improved from Obama in 2012). This was the first time Virginia voted for a losing Democratic candidate since 1924. The state would later vote for a Democratic nominee who lost the popular vote in 2024 by a larger margin than Clinton's 2016 margin, solidifying the state's status as a blue state. Conversely, Trump became the first Republican since Calvin Coolidge in 1924 to win the presidency without carrying Virginia. Virginia had been a traditionally Democratic-leaning state from the party's founding until 1952. It then became reliably Republican-leaning from 1952 until 2004, after which point it has voted Democratic in every presidential election. As of the 2024 election, Trump in 2016 is the most recent Republican candidate to win Chesapeake, Chesterfield County, James City County, Stafford County, and Virginia Beach.

Infobox

Turnout
72 % (of registered voters)
Nominee
Hillary Clinton
Party
Democratic
Home state
New York
Running mate
Tim Kaine
Electoral vote
13
Popular vote
1,981,473
Percentage
49 %

Tables

· Primaries › Democratic primary
Candidate
Candidate
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Popular vote
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Estimated delegates
Count
Count
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Count
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Percentage
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Pledged
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Unpledged
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Total
Hillary Clinton
Hillary Clinton
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Hillary Clinton
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
504,741
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
64 %
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
62
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
13
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
75
Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Bernie Sanders
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
276,370
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
35 %
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
33
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
0
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
33
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
3,930
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
0 %
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Uncommitted
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
—N/a
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
0
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
1
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
1
Total
Total
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Total
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
785,041
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
100%
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
95
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
14
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
109
Source:
Source:
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Source:
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate
Popular vote
Estimated delegates
Count
Percentage
Pledged
Unpledged
Total
Hillary Clinton
504,741
64 %
62
13
75
Bernie Sanders
276,370
35 %
33
0
33
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
3,930
0 %
Uncommitted
—N/a
0
1
1
Total
785,041
100%
95
14
109
Source:
Virginia Republican primary, March 1, 2016 · Primaries › Republican primary
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
356,840
Percentage
34 %
Actual delegate count
17
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
17
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
Candidate
Marco Rubio
Votes
327,918
Percentage
31 %
Actual delegate count
16
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
16
Ted Cruz
Ted Cruz
Candidate
Ted Cruz
Votes
171,150
Percentage
16 %
Actual delegate count
8
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
8
John Kasich
John Kasich
Candidate
John Kasich
Votes
97,784
Percentage
9 %
Actual delegate count
5
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
5
Ben Carson
Ben Carson
Candidate
Ben Carson
Votes
60,228
Percentage
5 %
Actual delegate count
3
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
3
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
Candidate
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
Votes
3,645
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
Candidate
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
Votes
2,917
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
Candidate
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
Votes
1,458
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Candidate
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Votes
1,102
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
Candidate
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
Votes
914
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)
Candidate
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)
Votes
653
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)
Candidate
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)
Votes
444
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
Candidate
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
Votes
399
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Unprojected delegates:
Unprojected delegates:
Candidate
Unprojected delegates:
Votes
0
Percentage
0
Actual delegate count
0
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
1,025,452
Percentage
100 %
Actual delegate count
49
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
49
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
356,840
34 %
17
0
17
Marco Rubio
327,918
31 %
16
0
16
Ted Cruz
171,150
16 %
8
0
8
John Kasich
97,784
9 %
5
0
5
Ben Carson
60,228
5 %
3
0
3
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
3,645
0 %
0
0
0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
2,917
0 %
0
0
0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
1,458
0 %
0
0
0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
1,102
0 %
0
0
0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
914
0 %
0
0
0
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)
653
0 %
0
0
0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)
444
0 %
0
0
0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
399
0 %
0
0
0
Unprojected delegates:
0
0
0
Total:
1,025,452
100 %
49
0
49
Virginia primary, April 3, 2016 · Primaries › Green primary
Jill Stein
Jill Stein
Candidate
Jill Stein
Votes
35
Percentage
76%
National delegates
3
Kent Mesplay
Kent Mesplay
Candidate
Kent Mesplay
Votes
3
Percentage
6%
National delegates
1
William Kreml
William Kreml
Candidate
William Kreml
Votes
2
Percentage
4 %
National delegates
-
Darryl Cherney
Darryl Cherney
Candidate
Darryl Cherney
Votes
2
Percentage
3 %
National delegates
-
Sedinam Curry
Sedinam Curry
Candidate
Sedinam Curry
Votes
1
Percentage
1 %
National delegates
-
Write-ins
Write-ins
Candidate
Write-ins
Votes
3
Percentage
8 %
National delegates
-
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
46
Percentage
100 %
National delegates
4
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Jill Stein
35
76%
3
Kent Mesplay
3
6%
1
William Kreml
2
4 %
-
Darryl Cherney
2
3 %
-
Sedinam Curry
1
1 %
-
Write-ins
3
8 %
-
Total
46
100 %
4
· General election › Predictions
Lean D
Lean D
Source
Los Angeles Times
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 6, 2016
Lean D
Lean D
Source
CNN
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 8, 2016
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Rothenberg Political Report
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 7, 2016
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 7, 2016
Likely D
Likely D
Source
NBC
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 7, 2016
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Electoral-vote
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 8, 2016
Likely D
Likely D
Source
RealClearPolitics
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 7, 2016
Lean D
Lean D
Source
Fox News
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 7, 2016
Lean D
Lean D
Source
ABC
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 8, 2016
Source
Ranking
As of
Los Angeles Times
Lean D
November 6, 2016
CNN
Lean D
November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report
Likely D
November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely D
November 7, 2016
NBC
Likely D
November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote
Likely D
November 8, 2016
RealClearPolitics
Likely D
November 7, 2016
Fox News
Lean D
November 7, 2016
ABC
Lean D
November 8, 2016
2016 United States presidential election in Virginia · General election › Results
Totals
Totals
Party
Totals
Party
3,984,631
Candidate
100 %
Running mate
13
Voter turnout (Voting age population)
Voter turnout (Voting age population)
Party
Voter turnout (Voting age population)
Party
71 %
Party
Candidate
Running mate
Votes
Percentage
Electoral votes
Democratic
Hillary Clinton
Tim Kaine
1,981,473
49 %
13
Republican
Donald Trump
Mike Pence
1,769,443
44 %
0
Libertarian
Gary Johnson
Bill Weld
118,274
2 %
0
Independent
Evan McMullin
Mindy Finn
54,054
1 %
0
Green
Jill Stein
Ajamu Baraka
27,638
0 %
0
Independent (write-in)
-
-
33,749
0 %
0
Totals
3,984,631
100 %
13
Voter turnout (Voting age population)
71 %

References

  1. This would happen again in 2024.
  2. Arkansas, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Missouri, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, West Virginia, and Wisconsin
  3. The other ten are Arizona, California, Georgia, Washington, Illinois, Kansas, Massachusetts, Maryland, Texas, and Utah
  4. "Registration/Turnout Statistics"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20181018023154/https://www.elections.virginia.gov/resultsreports/registration-statistics/registrationturnout-statistics/index.html
  5. Uselectionatlas
    http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2016&def=swg&datatype=national&f=0&off=0&elect=0
  6. 270towin
    https://www.270towin.com/historical-presidential-elections/
  7. Thegreenpapers
    http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/VA-D
  8. The Green Papers
    http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/VA-D
  9. Virginia Department of Elections
    http://results.elections.virginia.gov/vaelections/2016%20March%20Democratic%20Presidential%20Primary/Site/Presidential.html
  10. Thegreenpapers
    http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/VA-R
  11. The Green Papers
    http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/VA-R
  12. Lpva
    https://web.archive.org/web/20160911082604/http://lpva.com/
  13. "GPVA Presidential Preference Primary 2016"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20160313040616/http://www.vagreenparty.org/gpus/2016/GPVAPrimary2016.html
  14. "GREEN PARTY OF VIRGINIA PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY RESULTS"
    https://www.facebook.com/GreenPartyOfVirginia/posts/869075936536292
  15. "RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Virginia: Trump vs. Clinton"
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/va/virginia_trump_vs_clinton-5542.html#!
  16. Usaelections-2016
    https://web.archive.org/web/20161013225211/http://usaelections-2016.com/virginia-presidential-election-2016-results-live-updates/956/
  17. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/24/upshot/if-tim-kaine-can-help-clinton-in-virginia-even-a-bit-its-a-big-deal.html
  18. NBC News
    http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/trump-s-campaign-pulling-out-virginia-n665541
  19. Los Angeles Times
    http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/trailguide/la-na-trailguide-updates-here-s-our-final-electoral-map-of-the-1478473458-htmlstory.html
  20. David Chalian
    http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/04/politics/road-to-270-electoral-college-map-november-4-duplicate/index.html
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