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2016 United States presidential election in Missouri

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2016 United States presidential election in Missouri

The 2016 United States presidential election in Missouri was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Missouri voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Missouri has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College. Trump carried the state with 56 % of the vote, while Clinton received 37 %. Trump's 18 margin of victory in the state was almost double that of Mitt Romney's from 2012. Clinton carried only four jurisdictions: Boone County, home to Columbia and the University of Missouri; Jackson County, which includes most of Kansas City; St. Louis County; and St. Louis City. Clinton's vote share percentage was the lowest a Democratic presidential nominee obtained in the state since George McGovern's 37 % in 1972, further cementing the state's drift towards the Republican Party and away from its long-held status as a bellwether state. Missouri was also one of eleven states that voted for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 but were lost by Hillary Clinton in 2016. Additionally, this was the first time since 1984 that Missouri voted by double digits for the Republican candidate, and the first time since 1992 that the state voted by double digits for either candidate.

Infobox

Turnout
66 % 0 pp
Nominee
Donald Trump
Party
Republican
Home state
New York
Running mate
Mike Pence
Electoral vote
10
Popular vote
1,594,511
Percentage
56 %

Tables

Missouri Democratic primary, March 15, 2016 · Primary elections › Democratic primary
Count
Count
Candidate
Count
Popular vote
Percentage
Popular vote
Pledged
Estimated delegates
Unpledged
Estimated delegates
Total
Hillary Clinton
Hillary Clinton
Candidate
Hillary Clinton
Popular vote
310,600
Popular vote
49 %
Estimated delegates
36
Estimated delegates
11
Estimated delegates
47
Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders
Candidate
Bernie Sanders
Popular vote
309,073
Popular vote
49 %
Estimated delegates
35
Estimated delegates
0
Estimated delegates
35
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Popular vote
3,697
Popular vote
0 %
Estimated delegates
0
Estimated delegates
2
Estimated delegates
2
Henry Hewes
Henry Hewes
Candidate
Henry Hewes
Popular vote
651
Popular vote
0 %
Estimated delegates
0
Estimated delegates
0
Estimated delegates
0
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
Candidate
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
Popular vote
437
Popular vote
0 %
Estimated delegates
0
Estimated delegates
0
Estimated delegates
0
Jon Adams
Jon Adams
Candidate
Jon Adams
Popular vote
428
Popular vote
0 %
Estimated delegates
0
Estimated delegates
0
Estimated delegates
0
Rocky De La Fuente
Rocky De La Fuente
Candidate
Rocky De La Fuente
Popular vote
340
Popular vote
0 %
Estimated delegates
0
Estimated delegates
0
Estimated delegates
0
Willie Wilson
Willie Wilson
Candidate
Willie Wilson
Popular vote
305
Popular vote
0 %
Estimated delegates
0
Estimated delegates
0
Estimated delegates
0
Keith Judd
Keith Judd
Candidate
Keith Judd
Popular vote
284
Popular vote
0 %
Estimated delegates
0
Estimated delegates
0
Estimated delegates
0
John Wolfe
John Wolfe
Candidate
John Wolfe
Popular vote
245
Popular vote
0 %
Estimated delegates
0
Estimated delegates
0
Estimated delegates
0
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Popular vote
626,060
Popular vote
100%
Estimated delegates
71
Estimated delegates
13
Estimated delegates
84
Source:The Green Papers
Source:The Green Papers
Candidate
Source:The Green Papers
Candidate
Popular vote
Estimated delegates
Count
Percentage
Pledged
Unpledged
Total
Hillary Clinton
310,600
49 %
36
11
47
Bernie Sanders
309,073
49 %
35
0
35
Uncommitted
3,697
0 %
0
2
2
Henry Hewes
651
0 %
0
0
0
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
437
0 %
0
0
0
Jon Adams
428
0 %
0
0
0
Rocky De La Fuente
340
0 %
0
0
0
Willie Wilson
305
0 %
0
0
0
Keith Judd
284
0 %
0
0
0
John Wolfe
245
0 %
0
0
0
Total
626,060
100%
71
13
84
Source:The Green Papers
Missouri Republican primary, March 15, 2016 · Primary elections › Republican primary
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
383,631
Percentage
40 %
Actual delegate count
37
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
37
Ted Cruz
Ted Cruz
Candidate
Ted Cruz
Votes
381,666
Percentage
40 %
Actual delegate count
15
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
15
John Kasich
John Kasich
Candidate
John Kasich
Votes
94,857
Percentage
10 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
Candidate
Marco Rubio
Votes
57,244
Percentage
6 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
Votes
8,233
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
Candidate
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
Votes
3,361
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
3,225
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
Candidate
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
Votes
2,148
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
Candidate
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
Votes
1,777
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Candidate
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Votes
1,681
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
Candidate
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
Votes
732
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
Candidate
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
Votes
615
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Jim Lynch (withdrawn)
Jim Lynch (withdrawn)
Candidate
Jim Lynch (withdrawn)
Votes
100
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Unprojected delegates:
Unprojected delegates:
Candidate
Unprojected delegates:
Votes
0
Percentage
0
Actual delegate count
0
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
939,270
Percentage
100 %
Actual delegate count
52
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
52
Source: The Green Papers
Source: The Green Papers
Candidate
Source: The Green Papers
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
383,631
40 %
37
0
37
Ted Cruz
381,666
40 %
15
0
15
John Kasich
94,857
10 %
0
0
0
Marco Rubio
57,244
6 %
0
0
0
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
8,233
0 %
0
0
0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
3,361
0 %
0
0
0
Uncommitted
3,225
0 %
0
0
0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
2,148
0 %
0
0
0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
1,777
0 %
0
0
0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
1,681
0 %
0
0
0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
732
0 %
0
0
0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
615
0 %
0
0
0
Jim Lynch (withdrawn)
100
0 %
0
0
0
Unprojected delegates:
0
0
0
Total:
939,270
100 %
52
0
52
Source: The Green Papers
Missouri Libertarian presidential primary, March 15, 2016 · Primary elections › Libertarian primary
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
1,183
Percentage
40 %
Austin Petersen
Austin Petersen
Candidate
Austin Petersen
Votes
854
Percentage
29 %
Steve Kerbel
Steve Kerbel
Candidate
Steve Kerbel
Votes
401
Percentage
13 %
Marc Allan Feldman
Marc Allan Feldman
Candidate
Marc Allan Feldman
Votes
242
Percentage
8 %
Cecil Ince
Cecil Ince
Candidate
Cecil Ince
Votes
134
Percentage
4 %
Rhett Smith
Rhett Smith
Candidate
Rhett Smith
Votes
99
Percentage
3 %
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
2,913
Percentage
100%
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Uncommitted
1,183
40 %
Austin Petersen
854
29 %
Steve Kerbel
401
13 %
Marc Allan Feldman
242
8 %
Cecil Ince
134
4 %
Rhett Smith
99
3 %
Total
2,913
100%
· General election › Predictions
Likely R
Likely R
Source
Los Angeles Times
Ranking
Likely R
As of
November 6, 2016
Safe R
Safe R
Source
CNN
Ranking
Safe R
As of
November 4, 2016
Likely R
Likely R
Source
Cook Political Report
Ranking
Likely R
As of
November 7, 2016
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Electoral-vote
Ranking
Safe R
As of
November 8, 2016
Likely R
Likely R
Source
Rothenberg Political Report
Ranking
Likely R
As of
November 7, 2016
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Safe R
As of
November 7, 2016
Likely R
Likely R
Source
RealClearPolitics
Ranking
Likely R
As of
November 8, 2016
Safe R
Safe R
Source
Fox News
Ranking
Safe R
As of
November 7, 2016
Source
Ranking
As of
Los Angeles Times
Likely R
November 6, 2016
CNN
Safe R
November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report
Likely R
November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote
Safe R
November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report
Likely R
November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe R
November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics
Likely R
November 8, 2016
Fox News
Safe R
November 7, 2016
2016 United States presidential election in Missouri · General election › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
2,808,605
Candidate
100%
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Donald Trump Mike Pence
1,594,511
56 %
Democratic
Hillary Clinton Timothy Kaine
1,071,068
38 %
Libertarian
Gary Johnson Bill Weld
97,359
3 %
Green
Jill Stein Ajamu Baraka
25,419
0 %
Constitution
Darrell L. Castle Scott N. Bradley
13,092
0 %
Independent
Evan McMullin Nathan Johnson
7,071
0 %
Independent
Tom Hoefling Steve Schulin
48
<0 %
Independent
Laurence Kotlikoff Edward Leamer
28
<0 %
Independent
"Rocky" Roque De La Fuente Michael Steinberg
6
<0 %
Independent
Marshall Schoenke James Creighton Mitchell Jr.
3
<0 %
Total votes
2,808,605
100%

References

  1. Missouri's Secretary of State
    https://www.sos.mo.gov/CMSImages/ElectionResultsStatistics//VoterTurnoutNov2016.pdf
  2. National Archives and Records Administration
    https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html
  3. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/missouri
  4. "Home"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20160131224627/http://www.memphisdemocrat.com/notice-of-primary-election/
  5. Missouri Secretary of State
    https://web.archive.org/web/20160318113410/http://enr.sos.mo.gov/EnrNet/
  6. "RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Missouri: Trump vs. Clinton"
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mo/missouri_trump_vs_clinton-5609.html#polls
  7. Los Angeles Times
    http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/trailguide/la-na-trailguide-updates-here-s-our-final-electoral-map-of-the-1478473458-htmlstory.html
  8. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2016/11/04/politics/road-to-270-electoral-college-map-november-4-duplicate/
  9. The Cook Political Report
    https://web.archive.org/web/20190301010353/https://cookpolitical.com/presidential/charts/scorecard
  10. Electoral-vote
    https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2016/Pres/Maps/Nov08.html
  11. "Presidential Ratings"
    http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/president/2016-presidential-ratings-november-7-2016
  12. University of Virginia Center for Politics
    http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-president/
  13. "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House"
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html
  14. "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge"
    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-electoral-scorecard-map-shifts-again-in-trumps-favor-as-clinton-holds-edge
  15. sos
    https://www.sos.mo.gov/CMSImages/ElectionResultsStatistics/2016GeneralElection.pdf
  16. "Dra 2020"
    https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::e39cf7d4-f655-4f39-a7ff-178ca55673fa
  17. FiveThirtyEight
    https://web.archive.org/web/20161122211024/https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/education-not-income-predicted-who-would-vote-for-trump/
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