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2016 United States presidential election in Maine

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2016 United States presidential election in Maine

The 2016 United States presidential election in Maine was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Maine voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman, reality television host of The Apprentice, media personality and real estate mogul Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Maine has four electoral votes in the Electoral College. Unlike all other states except Nebraska, Maine awards two electoral votes based on the statewide vote, and one vote for each congressional district. The last time it did so was in 1828. Maine was once one of the most Republican states in the nation. It voted for the Democratic ticket only three times (1912, 1964, and 1968) from 1856 to 1988, but a Democrat has won the state's popular vote in every election since then. Although regarded as a safe blue state prior to the election, Maine shifted dramatically and unexpectedly towards the Republicans, with Clinton's 2 % margin of victory the narrowest for a Democrat since 1988, when Republicans last won the state, and well down on Obama's 15 % margin in 2012. As a measure of how Republican Maine once was at the presidential level, Trump is only the third Republican to win the White House without winning the popular vote in Maine after Richard Nixon in 1968 and George W. Bush in both his 2000 and 2004 campaigns. Maine's significant Republican shift was largely attributed to Trump's stronger than expected support from the state's rural white working class voters, a demographic that overwhelmingly supported Obama in the previous two elections. On election day, Clinton carried Maine's two at-large electoral votes with a plurality and won Maine's 1st congressional district, while Trump won Maine's 2nd congressional district, making him the first Republican to do so since George H. W. Bush in 1988 and also making him the first Republican to win an electoral vote from a New England state since George W. Bush won New Hampshire in 2000. In addition to the historic electoral vote split in Maine, this marked the first time that such a split occurred after Maine began awarding electoral votes based on congressional districts in 1972. This was also the second time that a state split its Electoral College vote by congressional district since Nebraska in 2008.

Infobox

Turnout
72 %
Nominee
Hillary Clinton
Party
Democratic
Home state
New York
Running mate
Tim Kaine
Electoral vote
3
Popular vote
357,735
Percentage
47 %

Tables

· Caucuses › Democratic caucuses
Candidate
Candidate
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
Candidate
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
State convention delegates
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
Estimated delegates
Count
Count
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
Count
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
Percentage
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
Pledged
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
Unpledged
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
Total
Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
Bernie Sanders
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
2,226
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
64 %
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
17
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
1
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
18
Hillary Clinton
Hillary Clinton
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
Hillary Clinton
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
1,231
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
35 %
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
8
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
4
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
12
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
Uncommitted
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
12
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
0 %
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
0
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
0
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
0
Total
Total
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
Total
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
3,469
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
100%
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
25
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
5
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
30
Source:
Source:
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
Source:
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
Candidate
State convention delegates
Estimated delegates
Count
Percentage
Pledged
Unpledged
Total
Bernie Sanders
2,226
64 %
17
1
18
Hillary Clinton
1,231
35 %
8
4
12
Uncommitted
12
0 %
0
0
0
Total
3,469
100%
25
5
30
Source:
Maine Republican municipal caucuses, March 5, 2016 · Caucuses › Republican caucuses
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Ted Cruz
Ted Cruz
Candidate
Ted Cruz
Votes
8,550
Percentage
45 %
Actual delegate count
12
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
12
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
6,070
Percentage
32 %
Actual delegate count
9
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
9
John Kasich
John Kasich
Candidate
John Kasich
Votes
2,270
Percentage
12 %
Actual delegate count
2
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
2
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
Candidate
Marco Rubio
Votes
1,492
Percentage
8 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
Votes
132
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
Candidate
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
Votes
55
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
Candidate
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
Votes
31
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
Candidate
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
Votes
17
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
Candidate
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
Votes
10
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Unprojected delegates:
Unprojected delegates:
Candidate
Unprojected delegates:
Votes
0
Percentage
0
Actual delegate count
0
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
18,627
Percentage
100%
Actual delegate count
23
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
23
Source: The Green Papers
Source: The Green Papers
Candidate
Source: The Green Papers
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Ted Cruz
8,550
45 %
12
0
12
Donald Trump
6,070
32 %
9
0
9
John Kasich
2,270
12 %
2
0
2
Marco Rubio
1,492
8 %
0
0
0
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
132
0 %
0
0
0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
55
0 %
0
0
0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
31
0 %
0
0
0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
17
0 %
0
0
0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
10
0 %
0
0
0
Unprojected delegates:
0
0
0
Total:
18,627
100%
23
0
23
Source: The Green Papers
Maine Green Party presidential caucus, February 27 – March 19, 2016 · Caucuses › Green caucuses
Jill Stein
Jill Stein
Candidate
Jill Stein
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
William Kreml
William Kreml
Candidate
William Kreml
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Kent Mesplay
Kent Mesplay
Candidate
Kent Mesplay
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry
Candidate
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Darryl Cherney
Darryl Cherney
Candidate
Darryl Cherney
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
-
Percentage
-
National delegates
-
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Jill Stein
William Kreml
Kent Mesplay
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry
Darryl Cherney
Uncommitted
Total
-
-
-
· General election › Predictions
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Los Angeles Times
Ranking
Safe D
As of
November 6, 2016
Safe D
Safe D
Source
CNN
Ranking
Safe D
As of
November 4, 2016
Safe D
Safe D
Source
Cook Political Report
Ranking
Safe D
As of
November 7, 2016
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Electoral-vote
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 8, 2016
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Rothenberg Political Report
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 7, 2016
Likely D
Likely D
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Likely D
As of
November 7, 2016
Tossup
Tossup
Source
RealClearPolitics
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 8, 2016
Lean D
Lean D
Source
Fox News
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 7, 2016
Lean D
Lean D
Source
NBC
Ranking
Lean D
As of
November 7, 2016
Source
Ranking
As of
Los Angeles Times
Safe D
November 6, 2016
CNN
Safe D
November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report
Safe D
November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote
Likely D
November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report
Likely D
November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely D
November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics
Tossup
November 8, 2016
Fox News
Lean D
November 7, 2016
NBC
Lean D
November 7, 2016
· General election › Predictions
CNN
CNN
Source
CNN
1st district
Safe D
2nd district
Lean D
As of
November 4, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
1st district
Safe D
2nd district
Lean R (flip)
As of
November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics
Source
RealClearPolitics
1st district
Lean D
2nd district
Tossup
As of
November 8, 2016
NBC
NBC
Source
NBC
1st district
Safe D
2nd district
Tossup
As of
November 7, 2016
Source
1st district
2nd district
As of
CNN
Safe D
Lean D
November 4, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe D
Lean R (flip)
November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics
Lean D
Tossup
November 8, 2016
NBC
Safe D
Tossup
November 7, 2016

References

  1. Bush won the entire state of Maine in addition to the 2nd district, not on a split vote.
  2. National Archives and Records Administration
    https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html
  3. "Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions, Elections and Voting, Results, 2014 Tabulations"
    http://www.state.me.us/sos/cec/elec/results/results16-17.html#tally
  4. The Green Papers
    http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/ME-D
  5. www
    http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/ME-R
  6. "IT'S A CRUCIAL TIME TO BE A GREEN PARTY MEMBER!"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20160303052817/http://www.mainegreens.org/it_s_a_crucial_time_to_be_a_green_party_member
  7. "SCHEDULED CAUCUSES"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20160303060701/http://www.mainegreens.org/scheduled_caucuses
  8. WCSH6
    http://www.wcsh6.com/news/politics/maine-green-indepent-party-holds-caucuses/79771361
  9. C-SPAN
    http://www.c-span.org/video/?409917-1/libertarian-party-selects-gary-johnson-2016-nominee&live=
  10. The Bangor Daily News
    http://bangordailynews.com/2016/04/25/politics/judge-rejects-libertarians-appeal-to-become-maine-political-party/
  11. "Federal judge hands Maine libertarians a partial victory – The Portland Press Herald / Maine Sunday Telegram"
    http://www.pressherald.com/2016/05/27/federal-judge-hands-maine-libertarians-a-partial-victory/
  12. "Libertarians become Maine's fourth political party | State & Capitol"
    http://stateandcapitol.bangordailynews.com/2016/07/13/libertarians-become-maines-fourth-political-party/
  13. Los Angeles Times
    https://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/trailguide/la-na-trailguide-updates-here-s-our-final-electoral-map-of-the-1478473458-htmlstory.html
  14. CNN
    https://www.cnn.com/2016/11/04/politics/road-to-270-electoral-college-map-november-4-duplicate/
  15. The Cook Political Report
    https://cookpolitical.com/presidential/charts/scorecard
  16. Electoral-vote
    https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2016/Pres/Maps/Nov08.html
  17. "Presidential Ratings"
    http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/president/2016-presidential-ratings-november-7-2016
  18. University of Virginia Center for Politics
    http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-president/
  19. "2016 Election Maps – Battle for White House"
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html
  20. "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge"
    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-electoral-scorecard-map-shifts-again-in-trumps-favor-as-clinton-holds-edge
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