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2016 United States presidential election in Arizona

Updated: Wikipedia source

2016 United States presidential election in Arizona

The 2016 United States presidential election in Arizona was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Arizona voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Arizona has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College. Despite the country at-large swinging to the right, Arizona's Republican margin of victory decreased from 9 % in 2012 to only 3 % in 2016, thus making it one of 11 states (along with the District of Columbia) to swing toward the Democratic Party in this election. As of 2024, Trump's 2016 margin of victory in Arizona remains the smallest for any Republican who won the presidency since Arizona's statehood in 1912. Notably, Maricopa County, the state's most populous county, went more Democratic than the state as a whole for the first time in state history; it has done so in every election since. The county had not voted for a Democrat since Harry S. Truman in 1948. Maricopa County and Arizona as a whole both voted Democratic in 2020 and then flipped back to the Republican presidential column in 2024.

Infobox

Turnout
74 %
Nominee
Donald Trump
Party
Republican
Home state
New York
Running mate
Mike Pence
Electoral vote
11
Popular vote
1,252,401
Percentage
48 %

Tables

2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Arizona– Summary of results – · Primary elections › Democratic primary › Results
Count
Count
Candidate
Count
Popular vote
Percentage
Popular vote
Pledged
Estimated delegates
Unpledged
Estimated delegates
Total
Hillary Clinton
Hillary Clinton
Candidate
Hillary Clinton
Popular vote
262,459
Popular vote
56 %
Estimated delegates
42
Estimated delegates
6
Estimated delegates
48
Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders
Candidate
Bernie Sanders
Popular vote
192,962
Popular vote
41 %
Estimated delegates
33
Estimated delegates
1
Estimated delegates
34
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
Candidate
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
Popular vote
3,877
Popular vote
0 %
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente
Candidate
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente
Popular vote
2,797
Popular vote
0 %
Michael Steinberg
Michael Steinberg
Candidate
Michael Steinberg
Popular vote
2,295
Popular vote
0 %
Henry Hewes
Henry Hewes
Candidate
Henry Hewes
Popular vote
1,845
Popular vote
0 %
Uncommitted
Uncommitted
Candidate
Uncommitted
Popular vote
—N/a
Estimated delegates
3
Estimated delegates
3
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Popular vote
466,235
Popular vote
100%
Estimated delegates
75
Estimated delegates
10
Estimated delegates
85
Source:
Source:
Candidate
Source:
Candidate
Popular vote
Estimated delegates
Count
Percentage
Pledged
Unpledged
Total
Hillary Clinton
262,459
56 %
42
6
48
Bernie Sanders
192,962
41 %
33
1
34
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
3,877
0 %
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente
2,797
0 %
Michael Steinberg
2,295
0 %
Henry Hewes
1,845
0 %
Uncommitted
—N/a
3
3
Total
466,235
100%
75
10
85
Source:
Detailed results for the Arizona Democratic primary, April 5, 2016 · Primary elections › Democratic primary › Results
Votes
Votes
District
Votes
Total
Delegates
Total
Votes
Hillary Clinton
%
Hillary Clinton
Delegates
Hillary Clinton
Votes
Bernie Sanders
%
Bernie Sanders
Delegates
1st district
1st district
District
1st district
Total
63,863
Total
6
Hillary Clinton
35,445
Hillary Clinton
55 %
Hillary Clinton
3
Bernie Sanders
26,267
Bernie Sanders
41 %
Bernie Sanders
3
2nd district
2nd district
District
2nd district
Total
78,237
Total
8
Hillary Clinton
42,797
Hillary Clinton
54 %
Hillary Clinton
4
Bernie Sanders
33,891
Bernie Sanders
43 %
Bernie Sanders
4
3rd district
3rd district
District
3rd district
Total
51,520
Total
5
Hillary Clinton
30,298
Hillary Clinton
58 %
Hillary Clinton
3
Bernie Sanders
20,091
Bernie Sanders
39 %
Bernie Sanders
2
4th district
4th district
District
4th district
Total
37,273
Total
4
Hillary Clinton
15,289
Hillary Clinton
55 %
Hillary Clinton
2
Bernie Sanders
20,662
Bernie Sanders
41 %
Bernie Sanders
2
5th district
5th district
District
5th district
Total
40,847
Total
5
Hillary Clinton
22,973
Hillary Clinton
56 %
Hillary Clinton
3
Bernie Sanders
16,982
Bernie Sanders
41 %
Bernie Sanders
2
6th district
6th district
District
6th district
Total
50,465
Total
6
Hillary Clinton
29,266
Hillary Clinton
58 %
Hillary Clinton
4
Bernie Sanders
20,259
Bernie Sanders
40 %
Bernie Sanders
2
7th district
7th district
District
7th district
Total
42,199
Total
5
Hillary Clinton
24,245
Hillary Clinton
57 %
Hillary Clinton
3
Bernie Sanders
17,173
Bernie Sanders
40 %
Bernie Sanders
2
8th district
8th district
District
8th district
Total
46,491
Total
5
Hillary Clinton
27,672
Hillary Clinton
59 %
Hillary Clinton
3
Bernie Sanders
17,651
Bernie Sanders
38 %
Bernie Sanders
2
9th district
9th district
District
9th district
Total
55,340
Total
6
Hillary Clinton
29,101
Hillary Clinton
52 %
Hillary Clinton
3
Bernie Sanders
25,359
Bernie Sanders
45 %
Bernie Sanders
3
At-large delegates
At-large delegates
District
At-large delegates
Total
466,235
Total
16
Hillary Clinton
262,459
Hillary Clinton
56 %
Hillary Clinton
9
Bernie Sanders
192,962
Bernie Sanders
41 %
Bernie Sanders
7
Pledged PLEOs
Pledged PLEOs
District
Pledged PLEOs
Total
466,235
Total
9
Hillary Clinton
262,459
Hillary Clinton
56 %
Hillary Clinton
5
Bernie Sanders
192,962
Bernie Sanders
41 %
Bernie Sanders
4
Total
Total
District
Total
Total
466,235
Total
75
Hillary Clinton
262,464
Hillary Clinton
56 %
Hillary Clinton
42
Bernie Sanders
192,965
Bernie Sanders
41 %
Bernie Sanders
33
District
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Votes
Delegates
Votes
%
Delegates
Votes
%
Delegates
1st district
63,863
6
35,445
55 %
3
26,267
41 %
3
2nd district
78,237
8
42,797
54 %
4
33,891
43 %
4
3rd district
51,520
5
30,298
58 %
3
20,091
39 %
2
4th district
37,273
4
15,289
55 %
2
20,662
41 %
2
5th district
40,847
5
22,973
56 %
3
16,982
41 %
2
6th district
50,465
6
29,266
58 %
4
20,259
40 %
2
7th district
42,199
5
24,245
57 %
3
17,173
40 %
2
8th district
46,491
5
27,672
59 %
3
17,651
38 %
2
9th district
55,340
6
29,101
52 %
3
25,359
45 %
3
At-large delegates
466,235
16
262,459
56 %
9
192,962
41 %
7
Pledged PLEOs
466,235
9
262,459
56 %
5
192,962
41 %
4
Total
466,235
75
262,464
56 %
42
192,965
41 %
33
Arizona Republican primary, March 22, 2016 · Primary elections › Republican primary
Bound
Bound
Candidate
Bound
Votes
Unbound
Percentage
Total
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Candidate
Donald Trump
Votes
286,743
Percentage
45 %
Actual delegate count
58
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
58
Ted Cruz
Ted Cruz
Candidate
Ted Cruz
Votes
172,294
Percentage
27 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
Candidate
Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
Votes
72,304
Percentage
11 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
John Kasich
John Kasich
Candidate
John Kasich
Votes
65,965
Percentage
10 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
Candidate
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
Votes
14,940
Percentage
2 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
Candidate
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
Votes
4,393
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
Candidate
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
Votes
2,269
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
Candidate
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
Votes
1,300
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
Candidate
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
Votes
1,270
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Candidate
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Votes
988
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
Candidate
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
Votes
523
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)
Candidate
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)
Votes
498
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
George Pataki (withdrawn)
George Pataki (withdrawn)
Candidate
George Pataki (withdrawn)
Votes
309
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Timothy Cook (withdrawn)
Timothy Cook (withdrawn)
Candidate
Timothy Cook (withdrawn)
Votes
243
Percentage
0 %
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
0
Unprojected delegates:
Unprojected delegates:
Candidate
Unprojected delegates:
Votes
0
Percentage
0
Actual delegate count
0
Total:
Total:
Candidate
Total:
Votes
624,039
Percentage
100 %
Actual delegate count
58
Actual delegate count
0
Actual delegate count
58
Source: The Green Papers
Source: The Green Papers
Candidate
Source: The Green Papers
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
286,743
45 %
58
0
58
Ted Cruz
172,294
27 %
0
0
0
Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
72,304
11 %
0
0
0
John Kasich
65,965
10 %
0
0
0
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
14,940
2 %
0
0
0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
4,393
0 %
0
0
0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
2,269
0 %
0
0
0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
1,300
0 %
0
0
0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
1,270
0 %
0
0
0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
988
0 %
0
0
0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
523
0 %
0
0
0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)
498
0 %
0
0
0
George Pataki (withdrawn)
309
0 %
0
0
0
Timothy Cook (withdrawn)
243
0 %
0
0
0
Unprojected delegates:
0
0
0
Total:
624,039
100 %
58
0
58
Source: The Green Papers
Arizona Green Party presidential primary, March 22, 2016 · Primary elections › Green primary
Jill Stein
Jill Stein
Candidate
Jill Stein
Votes
666
Percentage
82%
National delegates
5
Kent Mesplay
Kent Mesplay
Candidate
Kent Mesplay
Votes
151
Percentage
18%
National delegates
1
Write-in/Blank
Write-in/Blank
Candidate
Write-in/Blank
Votes
18
Percentage
0%
National delegates
-
Total
Total
Candidate
Total
Votes
817
Percentage
100 %
National delegates
6
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Jill Stein
666
82%
5
Kent Mesplay
151
18%
1
Write-in/Blank
18
0%
-
Total
817
100 %
6
· General election › Predictions
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Source
Los Angeles Times
Ranking
Lean D (flip)
As of
November 6, 2016
Tilt R
Tilt R
Source
Rothenberg Political Report
Ranking
Tilt R
As of
November 7, 2016
Lean R
Lean R
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Lean R
As of
November 7, 2016
Tossup
Tossup
Source
CNN
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 8, 2016
Tossup
Tossup
Source
NBC
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 8, 2016
Tossup
Tossup
Source
RealClearPolitics
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 8, 2016
Lean R
Lean R
Source
Fox News
Ranking
Lean R
As of
November 7, 2016
Tossup
Tossup
Source
ABC
Ranking
Tossup
As of
November 7, 2016
Source
Ranking
As of
Los Angeles Times
Lean D (flip)
November 6, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report
Tilt R
November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Lean R
November 7, 2016
CNN
Tossup
November 8, 2016
NBC
Tossup
November 8, 2016
RealClearPolitics
Tossup
November 8, 2016
Fox News
Lean R
November 7, 2016
ABC
Tossup
November 7, 2016

References

  1. National Archives and Records Administration
    https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html
  2. Arizona Secretary of State
    https://apps.azsos.gov/election/2012/General/ElectionInformation.htm
  3. azsos
    https://web.archive.org/web/20160909004413/http://www.azsos.gov/elections/voting-election/election-information/prespref2016dem
  4. The Green Papers
    http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/AZ-D
  5. Arizona Secretary of State
    http://apps.azsos.gov/election/2016/PPE/canvass2016ppe.pdf
  6. www
    http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/AZ-D
  7. "2016 Arizona District-Level Delegate Math"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20160418091112/http://www.azdem.org/sites/azdems/files/PDFs/Updated%202016%20DISTRICT%20Delegate%20Selection%20Allocation%20Math.pdf
  8. Azsos
    https://web.archive.org/web/20161203014833/https://www.azsos.gov/elections/voting-election/election-information/prespref2016rep
  9. "Arizona Green Party Presidential Primary Results"
    http://ballot-access.org/2016/03/23/arizona-green-party-presidential-primary-results/
  10. "Two Candidates Qualify for Arizona Green Party Presidential Primary; Six Qualify for Democratic Primary"
    http://ballot-access.org/2015/12/14/two-candidates-qualify-for-arizona-green-party-presidential-primary-six-qualify-for-democratic-primary/
  11. azsos
    http://apps.azsos.gov/election/2016/PPE/Results/PPE2016Results.htm
  12. www
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/az/arizona_trump_vs_clinton-5832.html#polls
  13. Los Angeles Times
    http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/trailguide/la-na-trailguide-updates-here-s-our-final-electoral-map-of-the-1478473458-htmlstory.html
  14. "Presidential Ratings"
    http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/president/2016-presidential-ratings-november-7-2016
  15. Centerforpolitics
    http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-president/
  16. Cnn
    http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/04/politics/road-to-270-electoral-college-map-november-4-duplicate/
  17. NBC News
    http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/2016-election-day/nbc-s-final-battleground-map-shows-clinton-edge-n678926
  18. "2016 Election Maps – Battle for White House"
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html
  19. "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge"
    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-electoral-scorecard-map-shifts-again-in-trumps-favor-as-clinton-holds-edge
  20. Abcnews
    https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/final-15-latest-polls-swing-states-decide-election/story?id=43277505
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