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2016 United States Senate elections

Updated: Wikipedia source

2016 United States Senate elections

The 2016 United States Senate elections were held on November 8, 2016. The presidential election, House elections, 14 gubernatorial elections, and many state and local elections were held concurrently. In the elections, 34 of the 100 seats—all Class 3 Senate seats—were contested in regular elections; the winners served six-year terms until January 3, 2023. Class 3 had last been up for election in 2010 when Republicans won a net gain of six seats. In 2016, Democrats defended 10 seats, while Republicans defended 24 seats. Republicans, having won a majority of seats in the Senate in 2014, held the Senate majority with 54 seats before this election. Although the Democrats made a net gain of two seats, Republicans retained control of the Senate for the 115th United States Congress. The two Democratic gains came from the defeats of incumbents Kelly Ayotte in New Hampshire and Mark Kirk in Illinois by Maggie Hassan and Tammy Duckworth, respectively. Despite Republicans retaining control of the Senate, 2016 marked the first time since 1986 where Democrats made a net gain of seats in Class 3. This is also the only election cycle since the popular-vote election of senators was mandated by the 17th Amendment in 1913 that the winning party in every Senate election mirrored the winning party for their state in the presidential election. This feat had nearly been accomplished earlier in 1920, which also involved the Class 3 Senate seats, and nearly repeated in 2020; in both cases, every state, with the exception of Kentucky in 1920 and Maine in 2020, voted for the same party in the presidential election and their Senate election. In addition, this election marked the first time since 2000 in which the party in opposition to the elected or reelected presidential candidate made net gains in the Senate; both cases involved the election of a Republican president and the Democrats making gains in the Senate. With the retirement of Harry Reid, Chuck Schumer became the Democratic leader after the elections, while Mitch McConnell retained his position as Senate Majority Leader. As of 2024, this is the last time Republicans won Senate races in Arizona and Georgia, and the last senate election cycle where there were no special elections.

Infobox

Leader
Mitch McConnell
Party
Independent
Leader since
January 3, 2007
Leader's seat
Kentucky
Seats before
2
Seats after
2
Seat change
2
Popular vote
626,763
Percentage
0 %
Seats up
0
Races won
0

Tables

· Results summary
Democratic
Democratic
Parties
Democratic
Parties
Republican
Col 3
Independent
Col 4
Libertarian
Col 5
Green
Col 6
Other
Before these elections
Before these elections
Parties
Before these elections
Parties
44
Col 3
54
Col 4
2
Col 5
Col 6
Col 7
Col 8
100
Not up
Not up
Parties
Not up
Parties
34
Col 3
30
Col 4
2
Col 5
Col 6
Col 7
Col 8
66
Class 2 (2014→2020)
Class 2 (2014→2020)
Parties
Class 2 (2014→2020)
Parties
11
Col 3
22
Col 4
0
Col 5
Col 6
Col 7
Col 8
33
Up
Up
Parties
Up
Parties
10
Col 3
24
Col 4
0
Col 5
Col 6
Col 7
Col 8
34
Special: All classes
Special: All classes
Parties
Special: All classes
Parties
0
Col 3
0
Col 4
0
Col 5
Col 6
Col 7
Col 8
0
General election
General election
Parties
General election
Incumbent retired
Incumbent retired
Parties
Incumbent retired
Parties
3
Col 3
2
Col 4
Col 5
Col 6
Col 7
Col 8
5
Replaced by other party
Replaced by other party
Parties
Replaced by other party
Parties
0
Col 3
0
Col 4
Col 5
Col 6
Col 7
Col 8
0
Result
Result
Parties
Result
Parties
3
Col 3
2
Col 4
Col 5
Col 6
Col 7
Col 8
5
Incumbent ran
Incumbent ran
Parties
Incumbent ran
Parties
7
Col 3
22
Col 4
Col 5
Col 6
Col 7
Col 8
29
Lost re-election
Lost re-election
Parties
Lost re-election
Parties
2 Republicans replaced by 2 Democrats
Col 3
Col 4
Col 5
Col 6
Col 7
2
Lost renomination but held by same party
Lost renomination but held by same party
Parties
Lost renomination but held by same party
Parties
0
Col 3
0
Col 4
Col 5
Col 6
Col 7
Col 8
0
Result
Result
Parties
Result
Parties
9
Col 3
20
Col 4
Col 5
Col 6
Col 7
Col 8
29
Total elected
Total elected
Parties
Total elected
Parties
12
Col 3
22
Col 4
Col 5
Col 6
Col 7
Col 8
34
Net gain/loss
Net gain/loss
Parties
Net gain/loss
Parties
2
Col 3
2
Col 4
Col 5
Col 6
Col 7
Col 8
2
Nationwide vote
Nationwide vote
Parties
Nationwide vote
Parties
51,315,969
Col 3
40,841,717
Col 4
626,763
Col 5
1,788,112
Col 6
695,838
Col 7
1,598,110
Col 8
96,866,509
Result
Result
Parties
Result
Parties
46
Col 3
52
Col 4
2
Col 5
Col 6
Col 7
Col 8
100
Parties
Total
Democratic
Republican
Independent
Libertarian
Green
Other
Before these elections
44
54
2
100
Not up
34
30
2
66
Class 1 (2012→2018)
23
8
2
33
Class 2 (2014→2020)
11
22
0
33
Up
10
24
0
34
Class 3 (2010→2016)
10
24
0
34
Special: All classes
0
0
0
0
General election
Incumbent retired
3
2
5
Held by same party
3
2
5
Replaced by other party
0
0
0
Result
3
2
5
Incumbent ran
7
22
29
Won re-election
7
20
27
Lost re-election
2 Republicans replaced by 2 Democrats
2
Lost renomination but held by same party
0
0
0
Result
9
20
29
Total elected
12
22
34
Net gain/loss
2
2
2
Nationwide vote
51,315,969
40,841,717
626,763
1,788,112
695,838
1,598,110
96,866,509
Share
52 %
42 %
0 %
1 %
0 %
1 %
100%
Result
46
52
2
100
· Change in composition › Before the elections
D20
D20
D1
D20
D2
D19
D3
D18
D4
D17
D5
D16
D6
D15
D7
D14
D8
D13
D9
D12
D10
D11
D21
D21
D1
D21
D2
D22
D3
D23
D4
D24
D5
D25
D6
D26
D7
D27
D8
D28
D9
D29
D10
D30
D40 Vt. Ran
D40 Vt. Ran
D1
D40 Vt. Ran
D2
D39 Ore. Ran
D3
D38 N . Ran
D4
D37 Hawaii Ran
D5
D36 Conn. Ran
D6
D35 Colo. Ran
D7
D34
D8
D33
D9
D32
D10
D31
D41 Wash. Ran
D41 Wash. Ran
D1
D41 Wash. Ran
D2
D42 Calif. Retired
D3
D43 Md. Retired
D4
D44 Nev. Retired
D5
I1
D6
I2
D7
R54 La. Retired
D8
R53 Ind. Retired
D9
R52 Wisc. Ran
D10
R51 Utah Ran
Majority →
Majority →
D1
Majority →
R41 Ky. Ran
R41 Ky. Ran
D1
R41 Ky. Ran
D2
R42 Mo. Ran
D3
R43 N . Ran
D4
R44 N . Ran
D5
R45 N . Ran
D6
R46 Ohio Ran
D7
R47 Okla. Ran
D8
R48 Pa. Ran
D9
R49 S . Ran
D10
R50 S . Ran
R40 Kans. Ran
R40 Kans. Ran
D1
R40 Kans. Ran
D2
R39 Iowa Ran
D3
R38 Ill. Ran
D4
R37 Idaho Ran
D5
R36 Ga. Ran
D6
R35 Fla. Ran
D7
R34 Ark. Ran
D8
R33 Ariz. Ran
D9
R32 Alaska Ran
D10
R31 Ala. Ran
R21
R21
D1
R21
D2
R22
D3
R23
D4
R24
D5
R25
D6
R26
D7
R27
D8
R28
D9
R29
D10
R30
R20
R20
D1
R20
D2
R19
D3
R18
D4
R17
D5
R16
D6
R15
D7
R14
D8
R13
D9
R12
D10
R11
R1
R1
D1
R1
D2
R2
D3
R3
D4
R4
D5
R5
D6
R6
D7
R7
D8
R8
D9
R9
D10
R10
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
D6
D7
D8
D9
D10
D20
D19
D18
D17
D16
D15
D14
D13
D12
D11
D21
D22
D23
D24
D25
D26
D27
D28
D29
D30
D40 Vt. Ran
D39 Ore. Ran
D38 N . Ran
D37 Hawaii Ran
D36 Conn. Ran
D35 Colo. Ran
D34
D33
D32
D31
D41 Wash. Ran
D42 Calif. Retired
D43 Md. Retired
D44 Nev. Retired
I1
I2
R54 La. Retired
R53 Ind. Retired
R52 Wisc. Ran
R51 Utah Ran
Majority →
R41 Ky. Ran
R42 Mo. Ran
R43 N . Ran
R44 N . Ran
R45 N . Ran
R46 Ohio Ran
R47 Okla. Ran
R48 Pa. Ran
R49 S . Ran
R50 S . Ran
R40 Kans. Ran
R39 Iowa Ran
R38 Ill. Ran
R37 Idaho Ran
R36 Ga. Ran
R35 Fla. Ran
R34 Ark. Ran
R33 Ariz. Ran
R32 Alaska Ran
R31 Ala. Ran
R21
R22
R23
R24
R25
R26
R27
R28
R29
R30
R20
R19
R18
R17
R16
R15
R14
R13
R12
R11
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
R6
R7
R8
R9
R10
· Change in composition › After the elections
D20
D20
D1
D20
D2
D19
D3
D18
D4
D17
D5
D16
D6
D15
D7
D14
D8
D13
D9
D12
D10
D11
D21
D21
D1
D21
D2
D22
D3
D23
D4
D24
D5
D25
D6
D26
D7
D27
D8
D28
D9
D29
D10
D30
D40 Nev. Hold
D40 Nev. Hold
D1
D40 Nev. Hold
D2
D39 Md. Hold
D3
D38 Hawaii Re-elected
D4
D37 Conn. Re-elected
D5
D36 Colo. Re-elected
D6
D35 Calif. Hold
D7
D34
D8
D33
D9
D32
D10
D31
D41 N . Re-elected
D41 N . Re-elected
D1
D41 N . Re-elected
D2
D42 Ore. Re-elected
D3
D43 Vt. Re-elected
D4
D44 Wash. Re-elected
D5
D45 Ill. Gain
D6
D46 N . Gain
D7
I1
D8
I2
D9
R52 Wisc. Re-elected
D10
R51 Utah Re-elected
Majority →
Majority →
D1
Majority →
R41 Ky. Re-elected
R41 Ky. Re-elected
D1
R41 Ky. Re-elected
D2
R42 La. Hold
D3
R43 Mo. Re-elected
D4
R44 N . Re-elected
D5
R45 N . Re-elected
D6
R46 Ohio Re-elected
D7
R47 Okla. Re-elected
D8
R48 Pa. Re-elected
D9
R49 S . Re-elected
D10
R50 S . Re-elected
R40 Kans. Re-elected
R40 Kans. Re-elected
D1
R40 Kans. Re-elected
D2
R39 Iowa Re-elected
D3
R38 Ind. Hold
D4
R37 Idaho Re-elected
D5
R36 Ga. Re-elected
D6
R35 Fla. Re-elected
D7
R34 Ark. Re-elected
D8
R33 Ariz. Re-elected
D9
R32 Alaska Re-elected
D10
R31 Ala. Re-elected
R21
R21
D1
R21
D2
R22
D3
R23
D4
R24
D5
R25
D6
R26
D7
R27
D8
R28
D9
R29
D10
R30
R20
R20
D1
R20
D2
R19
D3
R18
D4
R17
D5
R16
D6
R15
D7
R14
D8
R13
D9
R12
D10
R11
R1
R1
D1
R1
D2
R2
D3
R3
D4
R4
D5
R5
D6
R6
D7
R7
D8
R8
D9
R9
D10
R10
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
D6
D7
D8
D9
D10
D20
D19
D18
D17
D16
D15
D14
D13
D12
D11
D21
D22
D23
D24
D25
D26
D27
D28
D29
D30
D40 Nev. Hold
D39 Md. Hold
D38 Hawaii Re-elected
D37 Conn. Re-elected
D36 Colo. Re-elected
D35 Calif. Hold
D34
D33
D32
D31
D41 N . Re-elected
D42 Ore. Re-elected
D43 Vt. Re-elected
D44 Wash. Re-elected
D45 Ill. Gain
D46 N . Gain
I1
I2
R52 Wisc. Re-elected
R51 Utah Re-elected
Majority →
R41 Ky. Re-elected
R42 La. Hold
R43 Mo. Re-elected
R44 N . Re-elected
R45 N . Re-elected
R46 Ohio Re-elected
R47 Okla. Re-elected
R48 Pa. Re-elected
R49 S . Re-elected
R50 S . Re-elected
R40 Kans. Re-elected
R39 Iowa Re-elected
R38 Ind. Hold
R37 Idaho Re-elected
R36 Ga. Re-elected
R35 Fla. Re-elected
R34 Ark. Re-elected
R33 Ariz. Re-elected
R32 Alaska Re-elected
R31 Ala. Re-elected
R21
R22
R23
R24
R25
R26
R27
R28
R29
R30
R20
R19
R18
R17
R16
R15
R14
R13
R12
R11
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
R6
R7
R8
R9
R10
R#
R#
D#
R#
Democratic
Republican
I#
I#
D#
I#
Democratic
Independent, caucusing with Democrats
D#
Democratic
R#
Republican
I#
Independent, caucusing with Democrats
· Final pre-election predictions
State
State
Constituency
State
Constituency
PVI
Incumbent
Senator
Incumbent
Last election
2016 election ratings
Cook Nov. 2 2016
2016 election ratings
Sabato Nov. 7 2016
2016 election ratings
Roth. Nov. 3 2016
2016 election ratings
Daily Kos Nov. 7 2016
2016 election ratings
RCP Nov. 7 2016
2016 election ratings
538 Nov. 7 2016
2016 election ratings
NYT Nov. 7 2016
2016 election ratings
TPM Nov. 5 2016
Alabama
Alabama
Constituency
Alabama
Constituency
R+14
Incumbent
Richard Shelby
Incumbent
63 % R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
Alaska
Alaska
Constituency
Alaska
Constituency
R+12
Incumbent
Lisa Murkowski
Incumbent
39 % R
2016 election ratings
Likely R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
Arizona
Arizona
Constituency
Arizona
Constituency
R+7
Incumbent
John McCain
Incumbent
59 % R
2016 election ratings
Lean R
2016 election ratings
Likely R
2016 election ratings
Likely R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Lean R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
Arkansas
Arkansas
Constituency
Arkansas
Constituency
R+14
Incumbent
John Boozman
Incumbent
57 % R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
California
California
Constituency
California
Constituency
D+9
Incumbent
Barbara Boxer (retiring)
Incumbent
52 % D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
Colorado
Colorado
Constituency
Colorado
Constituency
D+1
Incumbent
Michael Bennet
Incumbent
47 % D
2016 election ratings
Likely D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Lean D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Likely D
Connecticut
Connecticut
Constituency
Connecticut
Constituency
D+7
Incumbent
Richard Blumenthal
Incumbent
55 % D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
Florida
Florida
Constituency
Florida
Constituency
R+2
Incumbent
Marco Rubio
Incumbent
48 % R
2016 election ratings
Lean R
2016 election ratings
Lean R
2016 election ratings
Lean R
2016 election ratings
Lean R
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Likely R
2016 election ratings
Likely R
2016 election ratings
Lean R
Georgia
Georgia
Constituency
Georgia
Constituency
R+6
Incumbent
Johnny Isakson
Incumbent
58 % R
2016 election ratings
Likely R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Likely R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
Hawaii
Hawaii
Constituency
Hawaii
Constituency
D+20
Incumbent
Brian Schatz
Incumbent
69 % D (2014 special)
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
Idaho
Idaho
Constituency
Idaho
Constituency
R+18
Incumbent
Mike Crapo
Incumbent
71 % R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
Illinois
Illinois
Constituency
Illinois
Constituency
D+8
Incumbent
Mark Kirk
Incumbent
48 % R
2016 election ratings
Lean D (flip)
2016 election ratings
Likely D (flip)
2016 election ratings
Lean D (flip)
2016 election ratings
Safe D (flip)
2016 election ratings
Likely D (flip)
2016 election ratings
Safe D (flip)
2016 election ratings
Safe D (flip)
2016 election ratings
Safe D (flip)
Indiana
Indiana
Constituency
Indiana
Constituency
R+5
Incumbent
Dan Coats (retiring)
Incumbent
56 % R
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Lean R
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Lean R
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Lean R
Iowa
Iowa
Constituency
Iowa
Constituency
D+1
Incumbent
Chuck Grassley
Incumbent
64 % R
2016 election ratings
Likely R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
Kansas
Kansas
Constituency
Kansas
Constituency
R+12
Incumbent
Jerry Moran
Incumbent
70 % R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
Kentucky
Kentucky
Constituency
Kentucky
Constituency
R+13
Incumbent
Rand Paul
Incumbent
55 % R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Likely R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
Louisiana
Louisiana
Constituency
Louisiana
Constituency
R+12
Incumbent
David Vitter (retiring)
Incumbent
56 % R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Likely R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Likely R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Likely R
Maryland
Maryland
Constituency
Maryland
Constituency
D+10
Incumbent
Barbara Mikulski (retiring)
Incumbent
62 % D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
Missouri
Missouri
Constituency
Missouri
Constituency
R+5
Incumbent
Roy Blunt
Incumbent
54 % R
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Lean R
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Lean R
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Lean R
2016 election ratings
Tossup
Nevada
Nevada
Constituency
Nevada
Constituency
D+2
Incumbent
Harry Reid (retiring)
Incumbent
50 % D
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Lean D
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Lean D
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Lean D
2016 election ratings
Lean D
2016 election ratings
Tossup
New Hampshire
New Hampshire
Constituency
New Hampshire
Constituency
D+1
Incumbent
Kelly Ayotte
Incumbent
60 % R
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Lean D (flip)
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Lean D (flip)
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Tossup
New York
New York
Constituency
New York
Constituency
D+11
Incumbent
Chuck Schumer
Incumbent
66 % D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
North Carolina
North Carolina
Constituency
North Carolina
Constituency
R+3
Incumbent
Richard Burr
Incumbent
55 % R
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Lean R
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Lean R
2016 election ratings
Lean R
2016 election ratings
Tossup
North Dakota
North Dakota
Constituency
North Dakota
Constituency
R+10
Incumbent
John Hoeven
Incumbent
76 % R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
Oklahoma
Oklahoma
Constituency
Oklahoma
Constituency
R+19
Incumbent
James Lankford
Incumbent
67 % R (2014 special)
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
Ohio
Ohio
Constituency
Ohio
Constituency
R+1
Incumbent
Rob Portman
Incumbent
57 % R
2016 election ratings
Lean R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Likely R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
Oregon
Oregon
Constituency
Oregon
Constituency
D+5
Incumbent
Ron Wyden
Incumbent
57 % D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania
Constituency
Pennsylvania
Constituency
D+1
Incumbent
Pat Toomey
Incumbent
51 % R
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Lean D (flip)
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Lean D (flip)
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Lean D (flip)
2016 election ratings
Lean D (flip)
2016 election ratings
Lean D (flip)
South Carolina
South Carolina
Constituency
South Carolina
Constituency
R+8
Incumbent
Tim Scott
Incumbent
61 % R (2014 special)
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
South Dakota
South Dakota
Constituency
South Dakota
Constituency
R+10
Incumbent
John Thune
Incumbent
100 % R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
Utah
Utah
Constituency
Utah
Constituency
R+22
Incumbent
Mike Lee
Incumbent
61 % R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
2016 election ratings
Safe R
Vermont
Vermont
Constituency
Vermont
Constituency
D+18
Incumbent
Patrick Leahy
Incumbent
64 % D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
Washington
Washington
Constituency
Washington
Constituency
D+5
Incumbent
Patty Murray
Incumbent
52 % D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
2016 election ratings
Safe D
Wisconsin
Wisconsin
Constituency
Wisconsin
Constituency
D+2
Incumbent
Ron Johnson
Incumbent
51 % R
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Lean D (flip)
2016 election ratings
Tilt D (flip)
2016 election ratings
Lean D (flip)
2016 election ratings
Tossup
2016 election ratings
Likely D (flip)
2016 election ratings
Lean D (flip)
2016 election ratings
Lean D (flip)
Overall
Overall
Constituency
Overall
Constituency
D - 46 R - 47 7 tossups
Incumbent
D – 50 R – 50 0 tossups
Incumbent
D - 47 R - 47 6 tossups
2016 election ratings
D - 50 R - 48 2 tossups
2016 election ratings
D - 46 R - 46 8 tossups
2016 election ratings
D - 49 R - 49 2 tossups
2016 election ratings
D - 49 R - 49 2 tossups
2016 election ratings
D - 48 R - 48 4 tossups
2016 election ratings
Results: D - 48 R - 52
Constituency
Incumbent
2016 election ratings
State
PVI
Senator
Last election
Cook Nov. 2 2016
Sabato Nov. 7 2016
Roth. Nov. 3 2016
Daily Kos Nov. 7 2016
RCP Nov. 7 2016
538 Nov. 7 2016
NYT Nov. 7 2016
TPM Nov. 5 2016
Alabama
R+14
Richard Shelby
63 % R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Alaska
R+12
Lisa Murkowski
39 % R
Likely R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Arizona
R+7
John McCain
59 % R
Lean R
Likely R
Likely R
Safe R
Lean R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Arkansas
R+14
John Boozman
57 % R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
California
D+9
Barbara Boxer (retiring)
52 % D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Colorado
D+1
Michael Bennet
47 % D
Likely D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Lean D
Safe D
Safe D
Likely D
Connecticut
D+7
Richard Blumenthal
55 % D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Florida
R+2
Marco Rubio
48 % R
Lean R
Lean R
Lean R
Lean R
Tossup
Likely R
Likely R
Lean R
Georgia
R+6
Johnny Isakson
58 % R
Likely R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Likely R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Hawaii
D+20
Brian Schatz
69 % D (2014 special)
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Idaho
R+18
Mike Crapo
71 % R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Illinois
D+8
Mark Kirk
48 % R
Lean D (flip)
Likely D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Safe D (flip)
Likely D (flip)
Safe D (flip)
Safe D (flip)
Safe D (flip)
Indiana
R+5
Dan Coats (retiring)
56 % R
Tossup
Lean R
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Lean R
Tossup
Lean R
Iowa
D+1
Chuck Grassley
64 % R
Likely R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Kansas
R+12
Jerry Moran
70 % R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Kentucky
R+13
Rand Paul
55 % R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Likely R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Louisiana
R+12
David Vitter (retiring)
56 % R
Safe R
Likely R
Safe R
Safe R
Likely R
Safe R
Safe R
Likely R
Maryland
D+10
Barbara Mikulski (retiring)
62 % D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Missouri
R+5
Roy Blunt
54 % R
Tossup
Lean R
Tossup
Lean R
Tossup
Tossup
Lean R
Tossup
Nevada
D+2
Harry Reid (retiring)
50 % D
Tossup
Lean D
Tossup
Lean D
Tossup
Lean D
Lean D
Tossup
New Hampshire
D+1
Kelly Ayotte
60 % R
Tossup
Lean D (flip)
Tossup
Lean D (flip)
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
New York
D+11
Chuck Schumer
66 % D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
North Carolina
R+3
Richard Burr
55 % R
Tossup
Lean R
Tossup
Tossup
Tossup
Lean R
Lean R
Tossup
North Dakota
R+10
John Hoeven
76 % R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Oklahoma
R+19
James Lankford
67 % R (2014 special)
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Ohio
R+1
Rob Portman
57 % R
Lean R
Safe R
Likely R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Oregon
D+5
Ron Wyden
57 % D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Pennsylvania
D+1
Pat Toomey
51 % R
Tossup
Lean D (flip)
Tossup
Lean D (flip)
Tossup
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
South Carolina
R+8
Tim Scott
61 % R (2014 special)
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
South Dakota
R+10
John Thune
100 % R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Utah
R+22
Mike Lee
61 % R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Safe R
Vermont
D+18
Patrick Leahy
64 % D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Washington
D+5
Patty Murray
52 % D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Safe D
Wisconsin
D+2
Ron Johnson
51 % R
Tossup
Lean D (flip)
Tilt D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Tossup
Likely D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Lean D (flip)
Overall
D - 46 R - 47 7 tossups
D – 50 R – 50 0 tossups
D - 47 R - 47 6 tossups
D - 50 R - 48 2 tossups
D - 46 R - 46 8 tossups
D - 49 R - 49 2 tossups
D - 49 R - 49 2 tossups
D - 48 R - 48 4 tossups
Results: D - 48 R - 52

References

  1. Both general election candidates in California were Democrats, having won the top two spots in the nonpartisan blanket p
  2. Both independents caucused with the Democrats.
  3. The last elections for this group of senators were in 2010, except for those elected in a special election or who were a
  4. In the 2010 election, Republican nominee Joe Miller won 35 % of the vote. Murkowski won as a write-in candidate with 39
  5. Democrat Daniel Inouye won with 74 % of the vote in 2010, but died on December 17, 2012.
  6. Republican Tom Coburn won with 70 % of the vote in 2010, but resigned at the end of the 113th United States Congress.
  7. Republican Jim DeMint won with 61 % of the vote in 2010, but resigned on January 2, 2013 to become a president of The He
  8. In the 2010 election, Thune ran unopposed.
  9. Democratic total includes 2 Independents who caucus with the Democrats
  10. The predictor puts the Vice President for the Democrats, giving them control of the Senate in their ratings with only 50
  11. Coats previously served as a Senator from 1989 to 1999.
  12. Elected in the 2010 special election to finish Barack Obama's term and a regular election to the next term.
  13. Shelby was first elected in 1986 and re-elected in 1992 as a Democrat. He switched parties in 1994.
  14. Rubio had planned to retire at the end of the 114th Congress and initially not to run for re-election when he was runnin
  15. Wisconsin was the "tipping point" state.
  16. Clerk of the U . House of Representatives
    http://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electioninfo/2016election.pdf
  17. WaunaKeegan
    https://web.archive.org/web/20170322074444/http://waunakeegan.weebly.com/waunakeegan-results.html
  18. There Were No Purple* States On Tuesday. FiveThirtyEight. November 10, 2016.
    https://web.archive.org/web/20161111115202/http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/there-were-no-purple-states-on-tuesday/
  19. NYT
    https://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/24/upshot/democrats-have-a-60-percent-chance-to-retake-the-senate.html
  20. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/senate-election-forecast.html
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