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2010 United States Senate Democratic primary election in Pennsylvania

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2010 United States Senate Democratic primary election in Pennsylvania

The Democratic Party primary for the 2010 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania took place on May 18, 2010, when Congressman Joe Sestak defeated incumbent Arlen Specter, which led to the end of Specter's five-term Senatorial career. Just before the start of the primary campaign, after serving in the Senate as a Republican for 29 years, Specter had switched to the Democratic Party in anticipation of a difficult primary challenge by Pat Toomey; Toomey ultimately defeated Sestak in the general election. Political observers and journalists described the race between Specter and Sestak as one of the bitterest and most-watched of all the 2010 primary elections. Although Sestak was initially urged to run by the Democratic establishment, Specter gained broad support from Democrats after he switched parties. Prominent political figures like President Barack Obama and Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell later tried to sway Sestak from continuing the race, fearing he would damage Specter's chances in the general election. Former President Bill Clinton offered Sestak a position in the Obama administration if he withdrew his candidacy, an offer Republicans would later criticize. Sestak refused to drop out and criticized Specter's party switch as an opportunistic move aimed solely at self-preservation. Nevertheless, Sestak struggled to overcome problems stemming from low name recognition and Specter's support from such individuals as Joe Biden and Harry Reid, and organizations like the AFL–CIO and Pennsylvania Democratic Committee. Specter led Sestak by more than 20 percentage points for most of the race. However, this lead narrowed significantly in the final month of the campaign, when Sestak concentrated his funds and efforts on television commercials questioning Specter's Democratic credentials. Specter grew more critical of Sestak as the race progressed, attacking his House attendance record, accusing him of failing to pay his staffers minimum wage and alleging he was demoted while serving in the U . Navy for creating a poor command climate. Political observers said Sestak's commercials played a major part in his victory in the primary election. A national swing in momentum toward Republicans and against incumbents ultimately harmed Specter's chances.

Infobox

Nominee
Joe Sestak
Party
Democratic
Popular vote
568,563
Percentage
53 %

Tables

· Polling
Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac
Poll source
Quinnipiac
Dates administered
May 16, 2010
Arlen Specter
41%
Joe Sestak
42%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Poll source
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Dates administered
May 16, 2010
Arlen Specter
44%
Joe Sestak
44%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Poll source
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Dates administered
May 15, 2010
Arlen Specter
44%
Joe Sestak
43%
Daily Kos/Research 2000
Daily Kos/Research 2000
Poll source
Daily Kos/Research 2000
Dates administered
May 14, 2010
Arlen Specter
43%
Joe Sestak
45%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Poll source
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Dates administered
May 14, 2010
Arlen Specter
45%
Joe Sestak
43%
Suffolk
Suffolk
Poll source
Suffolk
Dates administered
May 13, 2010
Arlen Specter
40%
Joe Sestak
49%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Poll source
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Dates administered
May 13, 2010
Arlen Specter
44%
Joe Sestak
44%
Franklin & Marshall
Franklin & Marshall
Poll source
Franklin & Marshall
Dates administered
May 12, 2010
Arlen Specter
36%
Joe Sestak
38%
Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac
Poll source
Quinnipiac
Dates administered
May 12, 2010
Arlen Specter
44%
Joe Sestak
42%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Poll source
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Dates administered
May 12, 2010
Arlen Specter
45%
Joe Sestak
45%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Poll source
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Dates administered
May 11, 2010
Arlen Specter
43%
Joe Sestak
47%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Poll source
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Dates administered
May 10, 2010
Arlen Specter
42%
Joe Sestak
47%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Dates administered
May 10, 2010
Arlen Specter
42%
Joe Sestak
47%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Poll source
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Dates administered
May 9, 2010
Arlen Specter
42%
Joe Sestak
46%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Poll source
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Dates administered
May 8, 2010
Arlen Specter
42%
Joe Sestak
44%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Poll source
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Dates administered
May 7, 2010
Arlen Specter
43%
Joe Sestak
43%
Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac
Poll source
Quinnipiac
Dates administered
April 28 – May 2, 2010
Arlen Specter
47%
Joe Sestak
39%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Poll source
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Dates administered
May 2, 2010
Arlen Specter
48%
Joe Sestak
42%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Dates administered
April 13, 2010
Arlen Specter
44%
Joe Sestak
42%
Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac
Poll source
Quinnipiac
Dates administered
March 31 – April 5, 2010
Arlen Specter
53%
Joe Sestak
32%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Dates administered
March 15, 2010
Arlen Specter
48%
Joe Sestak
37%
Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac
Poll source
Quinnipiac
Dates administered
February 22–28, 2010
Arlen Specter
53%
Joe Sestak
29%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Dates administered
February 8, 2010
Arlen Specter
51%
Joe Sestak
36%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Dates administered
January 18, 2010
Arlen Specter
53%
Joe Sestak
32%
Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac
Poll source
Quinnipiac
Dates administered
December 8, 2009
Arlen Specter
53%
Joe Sestak
30%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Dates administered
December 8, 2009
Arlen Specter
48%
Joe Sestak
35%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Dates administered
October 13, 2009
Arlen Specter
46%
Joe Sestak
42%
Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac
Poll source
Quinnipiac
Dates administered
September 28, 2009
Arlen Specter
44%
Joe Sestak
25%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Dates administered
August 11, 2009
Arlen Specter
47%
Joe Sestak
34%
Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac
Poll source
Quinnipiac
Dates administered
July 19, 2009
Arlen Specter
55%
Joe Sestak
23%
Franklin/Marshall
Franklin/Marshall
Poll source
Franklin/Marshall
Dates administered
June 25, 2009
Arlen Specter
33%
Joe Sestak
13%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Dates administered
June 17, 2009
Arlen Specter
51%
Joe Sestak
32%
Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac
Poll source
Quinnipiac
Dates administered
May 28, 2009
Arlen Specter
50%
Joe Sestak
21%
POS
POS
Poll source
POS
Dates administered
May 3, 2009
Arlen Specter
62%
Joe Sestak
24%
Poll source
Dates administered
Arlen Specter
Joe Sestak
Quinnipiac
May 16, 2010
41%
42%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
May 16, 2010
44%
44%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
May 15, 2010
44%
43%
Daily Kos/Research 2000
May 14, 2010
43%
45%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
May 14, 2010
45%
43%
Suffolk
May 13, 2010
40%
49%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
May 13, 2010
44%
44%
Franklin & Marshall
May 12, 2010
36%
38%
Quinnipiac
May 12, 2010
44%
42%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
May 12, 2010
45%
45%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
May 11, 2010
43%
47%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
May 10, 2010
42%
47%
Rasmussen Reports
May 10, 2010
42%
47%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
May 9, 2010
42%
46%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
May 8, 2010
42%
44%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
May 7, 2010
43%
43%
Quinnipiac
April 28 – May 2, 2010
47%
39%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call
May 2, 2010
48%
42%
Rasmussen Reports
April 13, 2010
44%
42%
Quinnipiac
March 31 – April 5, 2010
53%
32%
Rasmussen Reports
March 15, 2010
48%
37%
Quinnipiac
February 22–28, 2010
53%
29%
Rasmussen Reports
February 8, 2010
51%
36%
Rasmussen Reports
January 18, 2010
53%
32%
Quinnipiac
December 8, 2009
53%
30%
Rasmussen Reports
December 8, 2009
48%
35%
Rasmussen Reports
October 13, 2009
46%
42%
Quinnipiac
September 28, 2009
44%
25%
Rasmussen Reports
August 11, 2009
47%
34%
Quinnipiac
July 19, 2009
55%
23%
Franklin/Marshall
June 25, 2009
33%
13%
Rasmussen Reports
June 17, 2009
51%
32%
Quinnipiac
May 28, 2009
50%
21%
POS
May 3, 2009
62%
24%
Democratic primary results · Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
1,055,780
Candidate
100
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Joe Sestak
568,563
53
Democratic
Arlen Specter (incumbent)
487,217
46
Total votes
1,055,780
100

References

  1. The Philadelphia Inquirer
  2. The New York Times
    https://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/07/13/for-pa-senate-seatwords-fly-between-specter-and-sestak/
  3. The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/05/18/AR2010051805561.html?hpid=topnews
  4. Roll Call
    http://www.rollcall.com/news/75435-1.html?cqp=1
  5. Philadelphia Daily News
  6. The Economist
    https://www.economist.com/united-states/2010/05/20/the-crushing-of-arlen-specter
  7. The New York Times Magazine
    https://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9907EEDB1530F930A25757C0A96E9C8B63&ref=chris_matthews&pagewanted=12
  8. The Patriot-News
    http://www.pennlive.com/news/patriotnews/index.ssf?/base/news/1217110219166670.xml&coll=1
  9. The Colbert Report
    http://www.colbertnation.com/the-colbert-report-videos/165840/april-14-2008/chris-matthews
  10. The New York Times
    https://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9801E0D61039F931A15753C1A96E9C8B63&ref=chris_matthews
  11. The Patriot-News
  12. New York Daily News
    http://www.nydailynews.com/entertainment/tv-movies/msnbc-hardball-host-chris-matthews-pondering-2010-senate-run-pennsylvania-article-1.334050
  13. Salon
    http://www.salon.com/news/politics/war_room/2008/12/01/matthews_senate
  14. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/08/business/media/08matthews.html
  15. The Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/01/07/AR2009010703585.html
  16. "Arlen unfazed by Specter of run vs. Chris Matthews"
    http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/2008/11/30/2008-11-30_arlen_unfazed_by_specter_of_run_vs_chris.html
  17. Newsweek
    http://www.newsweek.com/blogs/the-gaggle/2009/04/09/specter-will-not-run-as-an-independent.html
  18. Pittsburgh Business Times
    http://www.bizjournals.com/pittsburgh/stories/2009/03/23/daily25.html
  19. The Patriot-News
    https://web.archive.org/web/20120223114715/http://www.pennlive.com/statehouse/patriotnews/index.ssf?%2Fbase%2Fnews%2F1234497302147690.xml&coll=1
  20. CBS News
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/specter-in-trouble-in-pennsylvania/
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