Topzle Topzle

2005 Virginia gubernatorial election

Updated: Wikipedia source

2005 Virginia gubernatorial election

The 2005 Virginia gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2005, to elect the next governor of Virginia. The election was held concurrently with other elections for Virginia's statewide offices, the House of Delegates, and other United States' offices. Incumbent Democratic governor Mark Warner was ineligible to run for re-election as the Constitution of Virginia prohibits its governors from serving consecutive terms. Democratic Lieutenant Governor Tim Kaine and Republican Jerry Kilgore easily won their respective primaries. Republican state senator Russ Potts ran as an independent candidate. Kaine defeated Kilgore by 5 % points, which mirrored Warner's 5 % margin in the 2001 Virginia gubernatorial election. In the 2001 Virginia gubernatorial election, Democrat Mark Warner was accredited with strong performances in rural areas of the commonwealth which saw some reversions to Republican Jerry Kilgore in this election. Kaine made heavy attempts to appeal to suburban and exurban counties in Northern Virginia where President Bush did strongly in 2004 through campaigning with Governor Warner and support of zoning laws. Democratic governor Warner maintained high approval ratings in the state with 70–80% job approval — Kaine consistently associated himself with him. Kilgore ran a heavily aggressive campaign by attacking Kaine as an "out-of-touch liberal" who supported tax increases and opposed the death penalty. Kilgore lead in the initial polls though his aggressive campaign strategy failed to resonate, and Kaine had become favored in polling by Election Day. Virginia was considered competitive throughout the election, while the state's historical precedent of voting the party not in the presidential office since 1977 was noted as an important factor in the campaign. The election was largely viewed as a referendum on President Bush's second term ahead of the 2006 midterms by political pundits. Bush's late appearance in the state was viewed by both political parties as an attempt to potentially motivate their voters on Election Day. Warner's popularity and Kaine's focus on affordability were seen as the main factors for Kaine's win. This is the most recent election in which the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of opposite parties were elected. This is the last gubernatorial election when Accomack County, Buchanan County, Fluvanna County, Henry County, King and Queen County, Nottoway County, Rappahannock County, Westmoreland County and the independent cities of Buena Vista and Lynchburg have voted Democratic for governor.

Infobox

Turnout
45 % 1
Nominee
Tim Kaine
Party
Democratic
Popular vote
1,025,942
Percentage
51 %

Tables

Republican primary results · Republican primary › Results
Total votes
Total votes
Party
Total votes
Party
175,170
Candidate
100
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Jerry Kilgore
145,002
82
Republican
George Fitch
30,168
17
Total votes
175,170
100
· General election › Predictions
Tossup
Tossup
Source
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Ranking
Tossup
As of
October 25, 2005
Source
Ranking
As of
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Tossup
October 25, 2005
· General election › Polling
Real Clear Politics
Real Clear Politics
Source of poll aggregation
Real Clear Politics
Dates administered
November 2–7, 2005
Dates updated
November 7, 2005
Tim Kaine (D)
48 %
Jerry Kilgore (R)
45 %
Other/Undecided
7%
Margin
Kaine +3 %
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Tim Kaine (D)
Jerry Kilgore (R)
Other/Undecided
Margin
Real Clear Politics
November 2–7, 2005
November 7, 2005
48 %
45 %
7%
Kaine +3 %
· General election › Polling
SurveyUSA
SurveyUSA
Poll source
SurveyUSA
Date(s) administered
November 5–7, 2005
Sample size
804 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Tim Kaine (D)
50%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
45%
Other
4%
Undecided
1%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategies
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategies
Poll source
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategies
Date(s) administered
November 2–3, 2005
Sample size
625 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
45%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
44%
Other
4%
Undecided
7%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Date(s) administered
November 2, 2005
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
49%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
46%
Other
2%
Undecided
3%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Date(s) administered
October 27, 2005
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
46%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
44%
Other
4%
Undecided
6%
Roanoke College
Roanoke College
Poll source
Roanoke College
Date(s) administered
October 22–30, 2005
Sample size
407 (LV)
Margin of error
± 5 %
Tim Kaine (D)
44%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
36%
Other
5%
Undecided
15%
The Washington Post
The Washington Post
Poll source
The Washington Post
Date(s) administered
October 23–26, 2005
Sample size
1,004 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Tim Kaine (D)
47%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
44%
Other
4%
Undecided
5%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Date(s) administered
October 20, 2005
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
46%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
48%
Other
2%
Undecided
4%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Poll source
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Date(s) administered
October 18–20, 2005
Sample size
625 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
42%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
44%
Other
5%
Undecided
9%
SurveyUSA
SurveyUSA
Poll source
SurveyUSA
Date(s) administered
October 14–16, 2005
Sample size
750 (LV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Tim Kaine (D)
47%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
45%
Other
6%
Undecided
2%
Financial Dynamics
Financial Dynamics
Poll source
Financial Dynamics
Date(s) administered
October 13–16, 2005
Sample size
500 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
40%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
38%
Other
5%
Undecided
17%
321 (LV)
321 (LV)
Poll source
321 (LV)
Date(s) administered
± 5 %
Sample size
41%
Margin of error
40%
Tim Kaine (D)
5%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
14%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Date(s) administered
October 10–11, 2005
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
44%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
46%
Other
1%
Undecided
9%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Date(s) administered
September 28, 2005
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
45%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
45%
Other
5%
Undecided
5%
SurveyUSA
SurveyUSA
Poll source
SurveyUSA
Date(s) administered
September 16–18, 2005
Sample size
636 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
43%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
46%
Other
7%
Undecided
4%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Poll source
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Date(s) administered
September 13–15, 2005
Sample size
625 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
40%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
41%
Other
6%
Undecided
13%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Date(s) administered
September 14, 2005
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
41%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
44%
Other
5%
Undecided
10%
40%
40%
Poll source
40%
Date(s) administered
43%
Sample size
7%
Margin of error
10%
The Washington Post
The Washington Post
Poll source
The Washington Post
Date(s) administered
September 6–9, 2005
Sample size
1,036 (RV)
Margin of error
± 3 %
Tim Kaine (D)
41%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
45%
Other
5%
Undecided
9%
571 (LV)
571 (LV)
Poll source
571 (LV)
Date(s) administered
± 4 %
Sample size
44%
Margin of error
51%
Tim Kaine (D)
4%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
1%
SurveyUSA
SurveyUSA
Poll source
SurveyUSA
Date(s) administered
August 6–8, 2005
Sample size
568 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
43%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
48%
Other
6%
Undecided
4%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Date(s) administered
August 3, 2005
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
39%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
45%
Other
5%
Undecided
11%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Poll source
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Date(s) administered
July 19–21, 2005
Sample size
625 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
38%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
37%
Other
9%
Undecided
16%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Date(s) administered
July 12, 2005
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
41%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
47%
Other
4%
Undecided
8%
SurveyUSA
SurveyUSA
Poll source
SurveyUSA
Date(s) administered
June 28–29, 2005
Sample size
494 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
39%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
49%
Other
8%
Undecided
7%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Date(s) administered
June 15, 2005
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
40%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
46%
Other
2%
Undecided
12%
SurveyUSA
SurveyUSA
Poll source
SurveyUSA
Date(s) administered
May 15–16, 2005
Sample size
575 (RV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
40%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
44%
Other
5%
Undecided
11%
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Poll source
Rasmussen Reports
Date(s) administered
April 14, 2005
Sample size
500 (LV)
Margin of error
± 4 %
Tim Kaine (D)
36%
Jerry Kilgore (R)
44%
Other
5%
Undecided
15%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Tim Kaine (D)
Jerry Kilgore (R)
Other
Undecided
SurveyUSA
November 5–7, 2005
804 (LV)
± 3 %
50%
45%
4%
1%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategies
November 2–3, 2005
625 (LV)
± 4 %
45%
44%
4%
7%
Rasmussen Reports
November 2, 2005
500 (LV)
± 4 %
49%
46%
2%
3%
Rasmussen Reports
October 27, 2005
500 (LV)
± 4 %
46%
44%
4%
6%
Roanoke College
October 22–30, 2005
407 (LV)
± 5 %
44%
36%
5%
15%
The Washington Post
October 23–26, 2005
1,004 (LV)
± 3 %
47%
44%
4%
5%
Rasmussen Reports
October 20, 2005
500 (LV)
± 4 %
46%
48%
2%
4%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
October 18–20, 2005
625 (LV)
± 4 %
42%
44%
5%
9%
SurveyUSA
October 14–16, 2005
750 (LV)
± 3 %
47%
45%
6%
2%
Financial Dynamics
October 13–16, 2005
500 (RV)
± 4 %
40%
38%
5%
17%
321 (LV)
± 5 %
41%
40%
5%
14%
Rasmussen Reports
October 10–11, 2005
500 (LV)
± 4 %
44%
46%
1%
9%
Rasmussen Reports
September 28, 2005
500 (LV)
± 4 %
45%
45%
5%
5%
SurveyUSA
September 16–18, 2005
636 (LV)
± 4 %
43%
46%
7%
4%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
September 13–15, 2005
625 (LV)
± 4 %
40%
41%
6%
13%
Rasmussen Reports
September 14, 2005
500 (LV)
± 4 %
41%
44%
5%
10%
40%
43%
7%
10%
The Washington Post
September 6–9, 2005
1,036 (RV)
± 3 %
41%
45%
5%
9%
571 (LV)
± 4 %
44%
51%
4%
1%
SurveyUSA
August 6–8, 2005
568 (LV)
± 4 %
43%
48%
6%
4%
Rasmussen Reports
August 3, 2005
500 (LV)
± 4 %
39%
45%
5%
11%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
July 19–21, 2005
625 (LV)
± 4 %
38%
37%
9%
16%
Rasmussen Reports
July 12, 2005
500 (LV)
± 4 %
41%
47%
4%
8%
SurveyUSA
June 28–29, 2005
494 (LV)
± 4 %
39%
49%
8%
7%
Rasmussen Reports
June 15, 2005
500 (LV)
± 4 %
40%
46%
2%
12%
SurveyUSA
May 15–16, 2005
575 (RV)
± 4 %
40%
44%
5%
11%
Rasmussen Reports
April 14, 2005
500 (LV)
± 4 %
36%
44%
5%
15%
Virginia gubernatorial election, 2005 · General election › Results
Majority
Majority
Party
Majority
Party
113,615
Candidate
5 %
Votes
+0 %
Turnout
Turnout
Party
Turnout
Party
1,983,778
Candidate
44 %
Votes
−1 %
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
±%
Democratic
Tim Kaine
1,025,942
51 %
−0 %
Republican
Jerry Kilgore
912,327
45 %
−1 %
Independent
Russ Potts
43,953
2 %
Write-in
1,556
0 %
+0 %
Majority
113,615
5 %
+0 %
Turnout
1,983,778
44 %
−1 %
Democratic hold
Swing

References

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Potts with 3%.
  3. Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
  4. Poll sponsored by WSLS-TV Roanoke and [[WUSA (TV}| WUSA-TV Washington, DC]]
  5. Potts with 3%.
  6. Potts with 4%.
  7. Potts with 2%.
  8. Potts with 4%.
  9. Potts with 5%.
  10. Potts with 4%.
  11. Potts with 2%.
  12. Potts with 5%.
  13. Poll sponsored by WSLS-TV Roanoke and WUSA-TV Washington, DC
  14. Potts with 4%.
  15. Poll sponsored by The Hotline/Diageo
  16. Potts with 5%.
  17. Potts with 5%.
  18. Russ Potts with 1%
  19. Potts with 5%.
  20. Poll sponsored by WSLS-TV Roanoke and [[WUSA (TV}| WUSA-TV Washington, DC]]
Image
Source:
Tip: Wheel or +/− to zoom, drag to pan, Esc to close.