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2004 United States presidential election

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2004 United States presidential election

Presidential elections were held in the United States on November 2, 2004. Incumbent Republican president George W. Bush and his running mate, incumbent vice president Dick Cheney, were elected to a second term. They narrowly defeated the Democratic ticket of Massachusetts junior senator John Kerry and North Carolina senior senator John Edwards. Bush and Cheney were re-nominated by their party with no difficulty. Meanwhile, the Democrats engaged in a competitive primary. Kerry emerged as the early front-runner but was faced with serious opposition by former Vermont governor Howard Dean, who briefly surged ahead of Kerry in the polls. Kerry won the first set of primaries in January and re-emerged as the front-runner, and Dean dropped out in February. Kerry clinched his party's nomination in March after a series of primary victories over runner-up Edwards, whom he ultimately selected to be his running mate. The September 11 attacks in 2001 decisively reshaped Bush's foreign policy goals and garnered him near-universal support early in his term. However, by 2004 his management of the war on terror attracted serious debate, particularly over his handling of the 2003 invasion of Iraq. Bush presented himself as a decisive leader and attacked Kerry as a "flip-flopper"; Kerry had voted to authorize the invasion, but criticized Bush's conduct of the Iraq War. Domestic issues were debated as well, including the economy and jobs, health care, abortion, same-sex marriage, and embryonic stem cell research. Bush won by a narrow margin of 35 electoral votes and took 50 % of the popular vote. Bush swept the South and the Mountain states and took the crucial swing states of Ohio, Iowa, and New Mexico, the last two flipping Republican. Although Kerry flipped New Hampshire, Bush won both more electoral votes and states than in 2000. Ohio was the tipping-point state, and was considered to be the state that allowed Bush to win reelection. Some aspects of the election process were subject to controversy, although not to the degree seen in the 2000 presidential election. Bush won Florida by a 5% margin, a significant improvement over his razor-thin victory margin in the state four years earlier that had led to a legal challenge in Bush v. Gore. This remains the most recent presidential election in which the Republican candidate won Colorado, New Mexico, and Virginia. At the time, Bush received the most popular votes in history, a record that would be broken in 2008. Bush's win was the only Republican popular vote victory during the eight elections from 1992 to 2020. Bush is the only incumbent Republican president to have won a second term since Ronald Reagan in 1984, and the only Republican presidential candidate to have won a majority of the popular vote since his father in 1988.

Infobox

Turnout
60 % 5 pp
Nominee
George W. Bush
Party
Republican
Home state
Texas
Running mate
Dick Cheney
Electoral vote
286
States carried
31
Popular vote
62,040,610
Percentage
50 %

Tables

· Nominations › Republican Party
George W. Bush
George W. Bush
Republican Party (United States)2004 Republican Party ticket
George W. Bush
Republican Party (United States)2004 Republican Party ticket
Dick Cheney
for President
for President
Republican Party (United States)2004 Republican Party ticket
for President
Republican Party (United States)2004 Republican Party ticket
for Vice President
43rd President of the United States (2001–2009)
43rd President of the United States (2001–2009)
Republican Party (United States)2004 Republican Party ticket
43rd President of the United States (2001–2009)
Republican Party (United States)2004 Republican Party ticket
46th Vice President of the United States (2001–2009)
Campaign
Campaign
Republican Party (United States)2004 Republican Party ticket
Campaign
Republican Party (United States)2004 Republican Party ticket
George W. Bush
Dick Cheney
for President
for Vice President
43rd President of the United States (2001–2009)
46th Vice President of the United States (2001–2009)
Campaign
· Nominations › Democratic Party
John Kerry
John Kerry
Democratic Party (United States)2004 Democratic Party ticket
John Kerry
Democratic Party (United States)2004 Democratic Party ticket
John Edwards
for President
for President
Democratic Party (United States)2004 Democratic Party ticket
for President
Democratic Party (United States)2004 Democratic Party ticket
for Vice President
U . Senator from Massachusetts (1985–2013)
U . Senator from Massachusetts (1985–2013)
Democratic Party (United States)2004 Democratic Party ticket
U . Senator from Massachusetts (1985–2013)
Democratic Party (United States)2004 Democratic Party ticket
U . Senator from North Carolina (1999–2005)
Campaign
Campaign
Democratic Party (United States)2004 Democratic Party ticket
Campaign
Democratic Party (United States)2004 Democratic Party ticket
John Kerry
John Edwards
for President
for Vice President
U . Senator from Massachusetts (1985–2013)
U . Senator from North Carolina (1999–2005)
Campaign
· Nominations › Democratic Party › Withdrawn candidates
John Edwards
John Edwards
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
John Edwards
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Howard Dean
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Dennis Kucinich
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Wesley Clark
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Al Sharpton
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Joe Lieberman
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Carol Moseley Braun
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Dick Gephardt
U . Senator from North Carolina (1999–2005)
U . Senator from North Carolina (1999–2005)
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
U . Senator from North Carolina (1999–2005)
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
79th Governor of Vermont (1991–2003)
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
U . Representative from Ohio (1997–2013)
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Supreme Allied Commander Europe (1997–2000)
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Minister and Activist
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
U . Senator from Connecticut (1989–2013)
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
U . Senator from Illinois (1993–1999)
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
House Minority Leader (1995–2003)
Campaign
Campaign
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Campaign
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Campaign
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Campaign
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Campaign
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Campaign
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Campaign
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Campaign
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Campaign
W: March 2 3,162,337 votes
W: March 2 3,162,337 votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
W: March 2 3,162,337 votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
W: Feb 18 903,460 votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
W: July 22 620,242 votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
W: Feb 11 547,369 votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
W: March 15 380,865 votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
W: Feb 3 280,940 votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
W: Jan 15 98,469 votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
W: Jan 20 63,902 votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
John Edwards
Howard Dean
Dennis Kucinich
Wesley Clark
Al Sharpton
Joe Lieberman
Carol Moseley Braun
Dick Gephardt
U . Senator from North Carolina (1999–2005)
79th Governor of Vermont (1991–2003)
U . Representative from Ohio (1997–2013)
Supreme Allied Commander Europe (1997–2000)
Minister and Activist
U . Senator from Connecticut (1989–2013)
U . Senator from Illinois (1993–1999)
House Minority Leader (1995–2003)
Campaign
Campaign
Campaign
Campaign
Campaign
Campaign
Campaign
Campaign
W: March 2 3,162,337 votes
W: Feb 18 903,460 votes
W: July 22 620,242 votes
W: Feb 11 547,369 votes
W: March 15 380,865 votes
W: Feb 3 280,940 votes
W: Jan 15 98,469 votes
W: Jan 20 63,902 votes
Debates among candidates for the 2004 U . presidential election · General election campaign › Presidential debates
P1
P1
No.
P1
Date
Thursday, September 30, 2004
Host
University of Miami
City
Coral Gables, Florida
Moderators
Jim Lehrer
Participants
President George W. Bush Senator John Kerry
Viewship (Millions)
62
VP
VP
No.
VP
Date
Tuesday, October 5, 2004
Host
Case Western Reserve University
City
Cleveland, Ohio
Moderators
Gwen Ifill
Participants
Vice President Dick Cheney Senator John Edwards
Viewship (Millions)
43
P2
P2
No.
P2
Date
Friday, October 8, 2004
Host
Washington University in St. Louis
City
St. Louis, Missouri
Moderators
Charles Gibson
Participants
President George W. Bush Senator John Kerry
Viewship (Millions)
46
P3
P3
No.
P3
Date
Wednesday, October 13, 2004
Host
Arizona State University
City
Tempe, Arizona
Moderators
Bob Schieffer
Participants
President George W. Bush Senator John Kerry
Viewship (Millions)
51
No.
Date
Host
City
Moderators
Participants
Viewship (Millions)
P1
Thursday, September 30, 2004
University of Miami
Coral Gables, Florida
Jim Lehrer
President George W. Bush Senator John Kerry
62
VP
Tuesday, October 5, 2004
Case Western Reserve University
Cleveland, Ohio
Gwen Ifill
Vice President Dick Cheney Senator John Edwards
43
P2
Friday, October 8, 2004
Washington University in St. Louis
St. Louis, Missouri
Charles Gibson
President George W. Bush Senator John Kerry
46
P3
Wednesday, October 13, 2004
Arizona State University
Tempe, Arizona
Bob Schieffer
President George W. Bush Senator John Kerry
51
· General election campaign › Electoral College forecasts
Arkansas
Arkansas
State
Arkansas
EVs
6
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely R
538 November 2, 2004
Likely R
CNN November 2, 2004
Lean R
Arizona
Arizona
State
Arizona
EVs
10
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely R
538 November 2, 2004
Likely R
CNN November 2, 2004
Lean R
Colorado
Colorado
State
Colorado
EVs
9
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely R
538 November 2, 2004
Lean R
CNN November 2, 2004
Lean R
Delaware
Delaware
State
Delaware
EVs
3
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely D
538 November 2, 2004
Likely D
CNN November 2, 2004
Lean D
Florida
Florida
State
Florida
EVs
27
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely R
538 November 2, 2004
Tossup
CNN November 2, 2004
Tossup
Iowa
Iowa
State
Iowa
EVs
7
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely R (flip)
538 November 2, 2004
Tossup
CNN November 2, 2004
Lean R (flip)
Maryland
Maryland
State
Maryland
EVs
10
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely D
538 November 2, 2004
Likely D
CNN November 2, 2004
Safe D
Maine
Maine
State
Maine
EVs
4
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely D
538 November 2, 2004
Lean D
CNN November 2, 2004
Lean D
Michigan
Michigan
State
Michigan
EVs
17
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely D
538 November 2, 2004
Lean D
CNN November 2, 2004
Lean D
Minnesota
Minnesota
State
Minnesota
EVs
10
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely D
538 November 2, 2004
Tossup
CNN November 2, 2004
Tossup
New Hampshire
New Hampshire
State
New Hampshire
EVs
4
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely D (flip)
538 November 2, 2004
Tossup
CNN November 2, 2004
Tossup
Missouri
Missouri
State
Missouri
EVs
11
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely R
538 November 2, 2004
Lean R
CNN November 2, 2004
Lean R
Nevada
Nevada
State
Nevada
EVs
5
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely R
538 November 2, 2004
Tossup
CNN November 2, 2004
Lean R
New Jersey
New Jersey
State
New Jersey
EVs
15
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely D
538 November 2, 2004
Likely D
CNN November 2, 2004
Lean D
New Mexico
New Mexico
State
New Mexico
EVs
5
New York Times November 2, 2004
Lean R (flip)
538 November 2, 2004
Tossup
CNN November 2, 2004
Tossup
North Carolina
North Carolina
State
North Carolina
EVs
15
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely R
538 November 2, 2004
Lean R
CNN November 2, 2004
Safe R
Ohio
Ohio
State
Ohio
EVs
20
New York Times November 2, 2004
Lean D (flip)
538 November 2, 2004
Tossup
CNN November 2, 2004
Tossup
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania
State
Pennsylvania
EVs
21
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely D
538 November 2, 2004
Tossup
CNN November 2, 2004
Lean D
Oregon
Oregon
State
Oregon
EVs
7
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely D
538 November 2, 2004
Lean D
CNN November 2, 2004
Lean D
Tennessee
Tennessee
State
Tennessee
EVs
11
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely R
538 November 2, 2004
Lean R
CNN November 2, 2004
Safe R
Wisconsin
Wisconsin
State
Wisconsin
EVs
10
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely R (flip)
538 November 2, 2004
Tossup
CNN November 2, 2004
Tossup
West Virginia
West Virginia
State
West Virginia
EVs
5
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely R
538 November 2, 2004
Lean R
CNN November 2, 2004
Likely R
Virginia
Virginia
State
Virginia
EVs
13
New York Times November 2, 2004
Likely R
538 November 2, 2004
Lean R
CNN November 2, 2004
Lean R
State
EVs
New York Times November 2, 2004
538 November 2, 2004
CNN November 2, 2004
Arkansas
6
Likely R
Likely R
Lean R
Arizona
10
Likely R
Likely R
Lean R
Colorado
9
Likely R
Lean R
Lean R
Delaware
3
Likely D
Likely D
Lean D
Florida
27
Likely R
Tossup
Tossup
Iowa
7
Likely R (flip)
Tossup
Lean R (flip)
Maryland
10
Likely D
Likely D
Safe D
Maine
4
Likely D
Lean D
Lean D
Michigan
17
Likely D
Lean D
Lean D
Minnesota
10
Likely D
Tossup
Tossup
New Hampshire
4
Likely D (flip)
Tossup
Tossup
Missouri
11
Likely R
Lean R
Lean R
Nevada
5
Likely R
Tossup
Lean R
New Jersey
15
Likely D
Likely D
Lean D
New Mexico
5
Lean R (flip)
Tossup
Tossup
North Carolina
15
Likely R
Lean R
Safe R
Ohio
20
Lean D (flip)
Tossup
Tossup
Pennsylvania
21
Likely D
Tossup
Lean D
Oregon
7
Likely D
Lean D
Lean D
Tennessee
11
Likely R
Lean R
Safe R
Wisconsin
10
Likely R (flip)
Tossup
Tossup
West Virginia
5
Likely R
Lean R
Likely R
Virginia
13
Likely R
Lean R
Lean R

References

  1. A Democratic faithless elector from Minnesota voted for Edwards for both president and vice president. As a result, Kerr
  2. In 2024, Republican Donald Trump won a plurality of the popular vote, but was 0 % short of a majority.
  3. Percentage point difference in margin from the 2000 election
  4. In 2024, Donald Trump was elected to a nonconsecutive second term. Overall, Trump's 1 % popular vote margin is the small
  5. The other one is Donald Trump in 2016 and 2024.
  6. Alaska and Louisiana do not have counties. Alaska's boroughs and census areas and Louisiana's parishes are pictured.
  7. United States Election Project
    https://www.electproject.org/national-1789-present
  8. www
    https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-content/documents/2004tables.pdf
  9. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2003/03/06/international/europe/france-and-russia-ready-to-use-veto-against-iraq-war.html
  10. USA Today
    https://web.archive.org/web/20120825014028/http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/iraq/2003-03-17-inspectors-iraq_x.htm
  11. "Rove Regrets Using Banner Declaring 'Mission Accomplished'"
    https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna4760238
  12. Lincoln Chafee, Against the Tide (2007), pp. 119–20
  13. "Bush to Push Ownership Society"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200901210439/https://money.cnn.com/2004/09/01/news/economy/election_bush_plan/
  14. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2004/01/28/politics/campaign/kerry-defeats-dean-in-new-hampshire.html
  15. "Primary Results: Delegate Scorecard"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20240921111752/https://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/primaries/pages/scorecard/graphical.html
  16. "McCain Spurning Kerry on VP Slot?"
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/mccain-spurning-kerry-on-vp-slot/
  17. "Kerry Names Edwards His Running Mate"
    https://web.archive.org/web/20240223075217/https://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/07/06/kerry.vp/
  18. The New York Times
    https://www.nytimes.com/2004/07/13/politics/campaign/democratic-convention-to-focus-on-kerrys-military-service.html
  19. "Kerry Casts Bush As Unfit to Lead Frayed Military"
    https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna5344731
  20. Chicago
    https://www.chicagomag.com/Chicago-Magazine/June-2007/The-Speech/
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