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1948 United States presidential election

Updated: Wikipedia source

1948 United States presidential election

Presidential elections were held in the United States on November 2, 1948. The Democratic ticket of incumbent President Harry S. Truman and Senator Alben Barkley defeated the Republican ticket of New York Governor Thomas E. Dewey and California Governor Earl Warren and the Dixiecrat ticket of South Carolina Governor Strom Thurmond and Mississippi Governor Fielding Wright in one of the greatest election upsets in American history. Truman had been elected vice president in the 1944 election, and he succeeded to the presidency in April 1945 upon the death of Franklin D. Roosevelt. He won his party's nomination at the 1948 Democratic National Convention only after defeating attempts to drop him from the ticket. The convention's civil rights plank caused a walkout by several Southern delegates, who launched a third-party "States' Rights Democratic Party" ticket, more commonly known as the Dixiecrats, led by South Carolina Governor Strom Thurmond. The Dixiecrats hoped to win enough electoral votes to force a contingent election in the House of Representatives, where they could extract concessions from either Dewey or Truman in exchange for their support. Former vice president Henry A. Wallace also challenged Truman by launching the Progressive Party and criticizing his confrontational Cold War policies. Dewey, the leader of his party's liberal eastern wing and the 1944 Republican presidential nominee, defeated conservative Ohio Senator Robert A. Taft and other challengers at the 1948 Republican National Convention. This was the first election to have primary and general election debates, with Dewey debating Harold Stassen in the Republican primary, while Norman Thomas debated Farrell Dobbs in the general election. Truman's feisty campaign style energized his base of traditional Democrats, consisting of most of the white South, as well as labor unions, and Catholic and Jewish voters; he also fared surprisingly well with Midwestern farmers. Dewey ran a low-risk campaign and avoided directly criticizing Truman. With the three-way split in the Democratic Party, and with Truman's low approval ratings, Truman was widely considered to be the underdog in the race, and virtually every prediction (with or without public opinion polls) indicated Dewey would win the election. Defying these predictions, Truman won the election with 303 electoral votes to Dewey's 189. Truman also won 49 % of the popular vote compared to Dewey's 45 %, while the third-party candidacies of Thurmond and Wallace each won less than 3% of the popular vote, with Thurmond carrying four states in the Deep South. Truman became the third president to be elected to a full term after succeeding to the presidency upon his predecessor's death. Truman's surprise victory was the fifth consecutive presidential win for the Democratic Party, the longest winning streak for the Democrats, and the longest for either party since the 1880 election. With simultaneous success in the 1948 congressional elections, the Democrats regained control of both houses of Congress, which they had lost in 1946. Thus, Truman's election confirmed the Democratic Party's status as the nation's majority party. This was the last presidential election before the ratification of the 22nd Amendment in 1951, which established presidential term limits. This did not apply to the incumbent Truman, but as he chose not to run in 1952, this was the last presidential election with no future disqualification effect for second-term winners.

Infobox

Turnout
52 % 3 pp
Nominee
Harry S. Truman
Party
Democratic
Home state
Missouri
Running mate
Alben W. Barkley
Electoral vote
303
States carried
28
Popular vote
24,178,347
Percentage
49 %

Tables

· Nominations › Democratic Party nomination
Harry S. Truman
Harry S. Truman
Democratic Party (United States)1948 Democratic Party ticket
Harry S. Truman
Democratic Party (United States)1948 Democratic Party ticket
Alben W. Barkley
for President
for President
Democratic Party (United States)1948 Democratic Party ticket
for President
Democratic Party (United States)1948 Democratic Party ticket
for Vice President
33rd President of the United States (1945–1953)
33rd President of the United States (1945–1953)
Democratic Party (United States)1948 Democratic Party ticket
33rd President of the United States (1945–1953)
Democratic Party (United States)1948 Democratic Party ticket
U . Senator from Kentucky (1927–1949)
Campaign
Campaign
Democratic Party (United States)1948 Democratic Party ticket
Campaign
Democratic Party (United States)1948 Democratic Party ticket
Harry S. Truman
Alben W. Barkley
for President
for Vice President
33rd President of the United States (1945–1953)
U . Senator from Kentucky (1927–1949)
Campaign
· Nominations › Democratic Party nomination
Richard Russell
Richard Russell
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Richard Russell
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
James A. Roe
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Paul V. McNutt
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Benjamin T. Laney
U . Senator from Georgia (1933–1971)
U . Senator from Georgia (1933–1971)
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
U . Senator from Georgia (1933–1971)
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
U . Representative from New York (1945–1947)
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
U . Ambassador (Philippines) (1946–1947)
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Governor of Arkansas (1945–1949)
Eliminated at Convention: July 14, 1948 266 Convention votes
Eliminated at Convention: July 14, 1948 266 Convention votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Eliminated at Convention: July 14, 1948 266 Convention votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Eliminated at Convention: July 14, 1948 15 Convention votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Eliminated at Convention: July 14, 1948 2 Convention votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Withdrew: July 14, 1948
Claude Pepper
Claude Pepper
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Claude Pepper
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Dwight D. Eisenhower
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Henry A. Wallace
U . Senator from Florida (1936–1951)
U . Senator from Florida (1936–1951)
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
U . Senator from Florida (1936–1951)
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
CS of the U . Army (1945–1948)
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
U . Vice President (1941–1945)
Withdrew: July 13, 1948
Withdrew: July 13, 1948
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Withdrew: July 13, 1948
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Declined Draft Effort: July 9, 1948
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Ran Third Party: December 29, 1947
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Richard Russell
James A. Roe
Paul V. McNutt
Benjamin T. Laney
U . Senator from Georgia (1933–1971)
U . Representative from New York (1945–1947)
U . Ambassador (Philippines) (1946–1947)
Governor of Arkansas (1945–1949)
Eliminated at Convention: July 14, 1948 266 Convention votes
Eliminated at Convention: July 14, 1948 15 Convention votes
Eliminated at Convention: July 14, 1948 2 Convention votes
Withdrew: July 14, 1948
Claude Pepper
Dwight D. Eisenhower
Henry A. Wallace
U . Senator from Florida (1936–1951)
CS of the U . Army (1945–1948)
U . Vice President (1941–1945)
Withdrew: July 13, 1948
Declined Draft Effort: July 9, 1948
Ran Third Party: December 29, 1947
Balloting · Nominations › Democratic Party nomination › Democratic Convention
Harry S. Truman
Harry S. Truman
Presidential ballot
Harry S. Truman
Col 2
947
Vice presidential ballot
Alben W. Barkley
Col 4
1,234
Richard Russell Jr.
Richard Russell Jr.
Presidential ballot
Richard Russell Jr.
Col 2
266
James A. Roe
James A. Roe
Presidential ballot
James A. Roe
Col 2
15
Paul V. McNutt
Paul V. McNutt
Presidential ballot
Paul V. McNutt
Col 2
2
Alben W. Barkley
Alben W. Barkley
Presidential ballot
Alben W. Barkley
Col 2
1
Presidential ballot
Vice presidential ballot
Harry S. Truman
947
Alben W. Barkley
1,234
Richard Russell Jr.
266
James A. Roe
15
Paul V. McNutt
2
Alben W. Barkley
1
· Nominations › Republican Party nomination
Thomas E. Dewey
Thomas E. Dewey
Republican Party (United States)1948 Republican Party ticket
Thomas E. Dewey
Republican Party (United States)1948 Republican Party ticket
Earl Warren
for President
for President
Republican Party (United States)1948 Republican Party ticket
for President
Republican Party (United States)1948 Republican Party ticket
for Vice President
47th Governor of New York (1943–1954)
47th Governor of New York (1943–1954)
Republican Party (United States)1948 Republican Party ticket
47th Governor of New York (1943–1954)
Republican Party (United States)1948 Republican Party ticket
30th Governor of California (1943–1953)
Republican Party (United States)1948 Republican Party ticket
Thomas E. Dewey
Earl Warren
for President
for Vice President
47th Governor of New York (1943–1954)
30th Governor of California (1943–1953)
· Nominations › Republican Party nomination
Robert A. Taft
Robert A. Taft
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Robert A. Taft
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Harold Stassen
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Arthur Vandenberg
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Earl Warren
U . Senator from Ohio (1939–1953)
U . Senator from Ohio (1939–1953)
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
U . Senator from Ohio (1939–1953)
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Governor of Minnesota (1939–1943)
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
U . Senator from Michigan (1928–1951)
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Governor of California (1943–1953)
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 274 Convention votes 464,741 Popular votes
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 274 Convention votes 464,741 Popular votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 274 Convention votes 464,741 Popular votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 157 Convention votes 627,321 Popular votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 62 Convention votes 18,924 Popular votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 59 Convention votes 771,295 Popular votes
Raymond E. Baldwin
Raymond E. Baldwin
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Raymond E. Baldwin
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Joseph W. Martin
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
B. Carroll Reece
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Douglas MacArthur
U . Senator from Connecticut (1946–1949)
U . Senator from Connecticut (1946–1949)
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
U . Senator from Connecticut (1946–1949)
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
U . House Speaker from Massachusetts (1925–1967)
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Chair of the RNC (1946-1948)
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
SC for the Allied Powers (1945–1951)
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 19 Convention votes
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 19 Convention votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 19 Convention votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 18 Convention votes 974 Popular votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 15 Convention votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 11 Convention votes 87,839 Popular votes
Dwight H. Green
Dwight H. Green
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Dwight H. Green
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Alfred E. Driscoll
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Dwight D. Eisenhower
Governor of Illinois (1941–1949)
Governor of Illinois (1941–1949)
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Governor of Illinois (1941–1949)
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Governor of New Jersey (1947–1954)
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
CS of the U . Army (1945–1948)
Withdrew at Convention: June 24, 1948 B2B 56 Convention votes
Withdrew at Convention: June 24, 1948 B2B 56 Convention votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Withdrew at Convention: June 24, 1948 B2B 56 Convention votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Withdrew at Convention: June 24, 1948 B2B 35 Convention votes
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Declined Draft Effort: January 23, 1948
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Robert A. Taft
Harold Stassen
Arthur Vandenberg
Earl Warren
U . Senator from Ohio (1939–1953)
Governor of Minnesota (1939–1943)
U . Senator from Michigan (1928–1951)
Governor of California (1943–1953)
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 274 Convention votes 464,741 Popular votes
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 157 Convention votes 627,321 Popular votes
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 62 Convention votes 18,924 Popular votes
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 59 Convention votes 771,295 Popular votes
Raymond E. Baldwin
Joseph W. Martin
B. Carroll Reece
Douglas MacArthur
U . Senator from Connecticut (1946–1949)
U . House Speaker from Massachusetts (1925–1967)
Chair of the RNC (1946-1948)
SC for the Allied Powers (1945–1951)
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 19 Convention votes
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 18 Convention votes 974 Popular votes
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 15 Convention votes
Eliminated at Convention: June 24, 1948 11 Convention votes 87,839 Popular votes
Dwight H. Green
Alfred E. Driscoll
Dwight D. Eisenhower
Governor of Illinois (1941–1949)
Governor of New Jersey (1947–1954)
CS of the U . Army (1945–1948)
Withdrew at Convention: June 24, 1948 B2B 56 Convention votes
Withdrew at Convention: June 24, 1948 B2B 35 Convention votes
Declined Draft Effort: January 23, 1948

References

  1. In state-by-state tallies, Truman earned 304 pledged electors, Thurmond 38. Truman lost one vote in Tennessee to Preston
  2. More commonly known as the 'Dixiecrat Party'.
  3. Others before Truman were Theodore Roosevelt and Calvin Coolidge; subsequently, Lyndon B. Johnson.
  4. Candidate was not formally nominated at the convention.
  5. Candidate was not formally nominated at the convention.
  6. The publication date is used, as the dates of the survey were not given in the source
  7. In New York, the Truman vote was a fusion of the Democratic and Liberal slates. There, Truman obtained 2,557,642 votes o
  8. In Mississippi, the Dewey vote was a fusion of the Republican and Independent Republican slates. There, Dewey obtained 2
  9. United States Election Project
    http://www.electproject.org/national-1789-present
  10. American Experience
    https://web.archive.org/web/20170221085231/http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/americanexperience/features/general-article/truman-politics/
  11. University of Michigan
    https://web.archive.org/web/20130402213551/http://www.sampler.isr.umich.edu/2012/featured/isr-and-the-truman-dewey-upset/
  12. Time
    https://web.archive.org/web/20121022023613/http://life.time.com/history/dewey-defeats-truman-the-story-behind-a-classic-political-photo/#1
  13. Ballot Access News
    https://ballot-access.org/2008/10/19/should-minor-party-independent-presidential-candidates-debate-down-lessons-of-1948/
  14. Journal of Policy History
    https://doi.org/10.1017%2FS0898030610000114
  15. Paul Kleppner et al. The Evolution of American Electoral Systems (1981) pp. 203–42
  16. Rome Daily Sentinel
    https://www.newspapers.com/article/daily-sentinel-new-yorkers-happy-over-pa/195297190/
  17. McComb Enterprise-Journal
    https://www.newspapers.com/article/enterprise-journal-couldnt-take-it-on-s/195291430/
  18. The Gazette and Daily (York, Pennsylvania)
    https://www.newspapers.com/article/the-gazette-and-daily-pepper-quits-as-l/195286596/
  19. The Scranton Times
    https://www.newspapers.com/article/the-times-tribune-eisenhower-would-spurn/195287095/
  20. San Bernardino Daily Sun
    https://www.newspapers.com/article/the-san-bernardino-county-sun-wallace-wi/195288866/
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